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VIA Pharmaceuticals (VIA Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 21, 2024)


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What is VIA Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VIA Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



VIA Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


VIA Pharmaceuticals  (GREY:VIAP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


VIA Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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VIA Pharmaceuticals (VIA Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
750 Battery Street, Suite 330, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94111
VIA Pharmaceuticals Inc is a development stage biotechnology company focuses on the development of small-molecule drugs to treat cardiovascular and metabolic diseases.
Executives
Fred B Craves director 750 BATTERY ST, STE 600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Bay City Capital Fund Iv, L.p. 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Bay City Capital Management Iv Llc 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Bay City Capital Fund Iv Co Invesment Fund Lp 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY ST STE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Bay City Capital Llc 10 percent owner 750 BATTERY STREET STE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Douglas B Given director C/O NEORX CORP, 410 WEST HARRISON ST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Karen Steil Wright officer: V.P. ? Finance, Controller 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 330, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Lawrence Kenneth Cohen director, officer: CEO and President 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 330 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Richard L Anderson director 14031 216TH WAY NE, WOODINVILLE WA 98072
Mark Bagnall director 3876 BAY CENTER PLACE, HAYWARD CA 94545
Rebecca Taub officer: SVP, Research & Development 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 330, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Adeoye Y Olukotun officer: Chief Medical Officer 3621 SOUTH STATE ST, 695 KMS PL, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Deerfield Special Situations Fund International Ltd 10 percent owner, other: Possible Member of 10% Group BISON COURT, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 -
Deerfield Special Situations Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: Possible Member of 10% Group 780 3RD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
James E Flynn 10 percent owner, other: Possible Member of 10% Group 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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