What is D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. (XAMS:DE) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
D E Master Blenders 1753 NV was incorporated on February 27, 2012 as a private company with limited liability. On April 4, 2012, it changed its name to D.E MASTER BLENDERS 1753 B.V. and moved its corporate seat to Joure (Skasterlân), the Netherlands. The Company is a pure-play coffee and tea company that offers high-quality, coffee and tea products that are known in retail and out of home markets across Europe, Brazil, Australia and Thailand. It has a portfolio of coffee and tea brands that address the needs of both its retail and out of home customers in its markets. The Company's segments are Retail-Western Europe, Retail-Rest of World and Out of Home. In Retail-Western Europe and Retail-Rest of World segments, its principal products are multi-serve coffee, single-serve coffee pads and capsules, instant coffee and tea. It sells these products predominantly to supermarkets, hypermarkets and through international buying groups. In its Out of Home segment, it offers hot beverage products but focus on its liquid roast products and related coffee machines. Its products and the related machines in the Out of Home segment are sold either directly to businesses, hotels, hospitals and restaurants or to foodservice distributors for distribution to the customer. Douwe Egberts is the Company's established brand in the multi-serve category and coffee brand in the Netherlands and Belgium and also has solid market positions in the United Kingdom and Hungary. In addition to Douwe Egberts, its multi-serve coffee is sold under the following brands: L'OR and Maison du Café in France, Marcilla in Spain,Merrild in Denmark, Harris in Australia, Kanis & Gunnink in the Netherlands, Jacqmotte in Belgium, Prima in Poland, and Pilão, Caboclo, Damasco and Moka in Brazil. Its single-serve coffee is sold under the brand name Senseo which is generally co-branded, such as Douwe Egberts Senseo and L'OR Senseo, in the Netherlands, Belgium, France, Germany, and Spain and selected other countries. In April 2010, it launched the L'OR EspressO capsules brand in France, and L'OR EspressO has subsequently been successfully launched in the Netherlands and Belgium. In May 2011, it successfully launched its capsules brand in Spain as L'aRôme EspressO. The Company's instant coffee is sold under the Moccona brand in Australia and Thailand, under the Douwe Egberts brand in the United Kingdom and under local brands in certain of its markets. Its tea is sold under the brand names Pickwick in the Netherlands, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Denmark and Hornimans in Spain. The Out of Home segment operates under the Cafitesse umbrella brand, which is principally co-branded Douwe Egberts Cafitesse, for its liquid roast coffee products and machines and under its Piazza D'Oro brand for premium espresso products and machines. The Company competes with other large international and national coffee and tea companies as well as smaller regional and specialty coffee and te
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