D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. (XAMS:DE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €-2.95 (As of May. 16, 2024)

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What is D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-16), D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €-2.95.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. is N/A.

The industry rank for D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

XAMS:DE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.005
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Annual Data

Trend

Jun11

Jun12

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Semi-Annual Data
	Jun11	Jun12
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	-

Competitive Comparison of D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €-0.218.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-0.218

13.5514

-2.95

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-2.95	-	12.45)	/	-2.95
	=	N/A

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. (XAMS:DE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V.'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. (XAMS:DE) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » D.E. Master Blenders 1753 N.V. (XAMS:DE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.demasterblenders1753.com

D E Master Blenders 1753 NV was incorporated on February 27, 2012 as a private company with limited liability. On April 4, 2012, it changed its name to D.E MASTER BLENDERS 1753 B.V. and moved its corporate seat to Joure (SkasterlÃ¢n), the Netherlands. The Company is a pure-play coffee and tea company that offers high-quality, coffee and tea products that are known in retail and out of home markets across Europe, Brazil, Australia and Thailand. It has a portfolio of coffee and tea brands that address the needs of both its retail and out of home customers in its markets. The Company's segments are Retail-Western Europe, Retail-Rest of World and Out of Home. In Retail-Western Europe and Retail-Rest of World segments, its principal products are multi-serve coffee, single-serve coffee pads and capsules, instant coffee and tea. It sells these products predominantly to supermarkets, hypermarkets and through international buying groups. In its Out of Home segment, it offers hot beverage products but focus on its liquid roast products and related coffee machines. Its products and the related machines in the Out of Home segment are sold either directly to businesses, hotels, hospitals and restaurants or to foodservice distributors for distribution to the customer. Douwe Egberts is the Company's established brand in the multi-serve category and coffee brand in the Netherlands and Belgium and also has solid market positions in the United Kingdom and Hungary. In addition to Douwe Egberts, its multi-serve coffee is sold under the following brands: L'OR and Maison du CafÃ© in France, Marcilla in Spain,Merrild in Denmark, Harris in Australia, Kanis & Gunnink in the Netherlands, Jacqmotte in Belgium, Prima in Poland, and PilÃ£o, Caboclo, Damasco and Moka in Brazil. Its single-serve coffee is sold under the brand name Senseo which is generally co-branded, such as Douwe Egberts Senseo and L'OR Senseo, in the Netherlands, Belgium, France, Germany, and Spain and selected other countries. In April 2010, it launched the L'OR EspressO capsules brand in France, and L'OR EspressO has subsequently been successfully launched in the Netherlands and Belgium. In May 2011, it successfully launched its capsules brand in Spain as L'aRÃ´me EspressO. The Company's instant coffee is sold under the Moccona brand in Australia and Thailand, under the Douwe Egberts brand in the United Kingdom and under local brands in certain of its markets. Its tea is sold under the brand names Pickwick in the Netherlands, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Denmark and Hornimans in Spain. The Out of Home segment operates under the Cafitesse umbrella brand, which is principally co-branded Douwe Egberts Cafitesse, for its liquid roast coffee products and machines and under its Piazza D'Oro brand for premium espresso products and machines. The Company competes with other large international and national coffee and tea companies as well as smaller regional and specialty coffee and te