ZCAR (Zoomcar Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 16.77% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


What is Zoomcar Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Zoomcar Holdings ZCAR Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77% as of Jun. 24, 2026. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zoomcar Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Zoomcar Holdings  (OTCPK:ZCAR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Zoomcar Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

ZCAR vs BDST, AIHS, AITX: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Zoomcar Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Zoomcar Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Zoomcar Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zoomcar Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Zoomcar Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.60

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=16.77%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 16.77% mean?
Zoomcar Holdings (ZCAR) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 16.77% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Zoomcar Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Zoomcar Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77%.
How does Zoomcar Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BDST and AIHS?
Zoomcar Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 16.77% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Zoomcar Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zoomcar Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Zoomcar Holdings (ZCAR) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 16.77%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zoomcar Holdings (ZCAR), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.77% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Zoomcar Holdings Business Description

Address HAL Old Airport Road, No.147, 1st Floor, ISRO Colony, Anjaneya Techno Park, Kodihalli, Bangalore, KA, IND, 560008
Zoomcar Holdings Inc is an emerging market-focused online car sharing marketplace, based on the number of current vehicles and active users on its platform. Its platform enables car owners (Hosts) and persons in temporary need of vehicles (Guests) to connect and share the use of a Host's car, made available to Guests at mutually convenient locations. It generates revenue in the form of facilitation fees charged to Hosts, net of incentives and refunds, and trip protection charged to the Renters. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from India, followed by Egypt, Indonesia, and Vietnam.