Challenger (ASX:CGFPB.PFD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Jun. 2025)


ASX:CGFPB.PFD Challenger Ltd ASX:CGFPB.PFD
59 GF Score
Price A$100.31
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Challenger ASX:CGFPB.PFD 59 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus rates ASX:CGFPB.PFD with a GF Score™ of 59/100. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 282 Insurance companies, Challenger ranks better than 50% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Challenger's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:CGFPB.PFD' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.6   Med: 10.34   Max: 47.43
Current: 16.83

During the past 13 years, Challenger's highest Forward Rate of Return was 47.43. The lowest was 4.60. And the median was 10.34.

ASX:CGFPB.PFD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
50% of 282 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 16.825 vs ASX:CGFPB.PFD: 16.83

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Challenger  (ASX:CGFPB.PFD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Challenger Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Challenger Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ASX:CGFPB.PFD vs AFL, MET, PRU: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ASX:CGFPB.PFD
59GF Score
Challenger Ltd ASX:CGFPB.PFD
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Challenger Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Challenger's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/+0
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Challenger (ASX:CGFPB.PFD) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Challenger and its competitors. Over the past decade, Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 4.60 to 47.43. According to the industry distribution chart, Challenger ranks #141 out of 282 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 50%.
Is Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Challenger's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 4.60 to a high of 47.43. Based on the distribution chart, Challenger ranks #141 out of 282 companies in the Insurance industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Challenger has a GF Score™ of 59/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Challenger's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to AFL and MET?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Challenger ranks #141 out of 282 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Challenger in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.83. Historically, Challenger's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 4.60 to 47.43 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Insurance company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Insurance companies is 16.83, based on 282 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Challenger and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Challenger's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Challenger stock overvalued right now?
Challenger (ASX:CGFPB.PFD) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00%. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Challenger's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Challenger (ASX:CGFPB.PFD), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Challenger Business Description

Address 5 Martin Place, Level 2, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Challenger's core business is selling annuity products in the Australian retirement market and, since November 2016, selling Australian dollar-denominated annuities into Japan's large retirement market. The firm's annuity products provide investors guaranteed regular payments over an agreed term for an upfront lump sum investment and is designed primarily to protect investors from the longevity risk of outliving their savings. Challenger also operates a funds management business, Fidante Partners, which has minority stakes in several boutique global investment managers, and Challenger Investment Management, which primarily manages investments supporting its annuities business.
59GF Score

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Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$100.31
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