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Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 1.19% (As of Sep. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Biogen's forward rate of return for was 1.19%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BIIB' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.06   Med: 21.83   Max: 24.99
Current: 0.43

During the past 13 years, Biogen's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.99. The lowest was 0.06. And the median was 21.83.

BIIB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
68.55% of 601 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 9.25 vs BIIB: 0.43

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Biogen Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.12 23.96 21.50 22.32 9.51

Biogen Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.36 9.51 6.88 5.29 1.19

Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Biogen Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Biogen's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=24.14285714/267+-0.0785
=1.19 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Biogen  (NAS:BIIB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Biogen Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Biogen's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Business Description

Biogen logo
Industry
Address
225 Binney Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142
Biogen and Idec merged in 2003, combining forces to market Biogen's multiple sclerosis drug Avonex and Idec's cancer drug Rituxan. Today, Rituxan and next-generation antibody Gazyva are marketed via a collaboration with Roche. Biogen also markets novel MS drugs Plegridy, Tysabri, Tecfidera, and Vumerity. In Japan, Biogen's MS portfolio is co-promoted by Eisai. Hemophilia therapies Eloctate and Alprolix (partnered with SOBI) were spun off as part of Bioverativ in 2017. Biogen has several drug candidates in phase 3 trials in neurology and neurodegenerative diseases and has launched Spinraza with partner Ionis. Aduhelm was approved as the firm's first Alzheimer's disease therapy in June 2021.
Executives
Murphy Nicole officer: Head of Pharm Ops and Tech BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Izzar Rachid officer: Head of Alzheimer's Disease BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jones William D /ca/ director
Freire Maria C director C/O ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE EQUITIES, INC 26 NORTH EUCLID AVENUE PASADENA CA 91101
Mcdonnell Michael R officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O IQVIA HOLDINGS INC. 83 WOOSTER HEIGHTS ROAD DANBURY CT 06810
Galdes Alphonse officer: EVP Pharmaceutical Oper & Tech BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Hawkins William A director MEDTRONIC INC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC310 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432-5604
Mantas Jesus B director BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Kramer Robin officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 999 VANDERBILT BEACH ROAD 3RD FLOOR NAPLES FL 34109
Karp Daniel officer: EVP, Corporate Development 225 BINNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Capello Jeffrey D officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION ONE BOSTON SCIENTIFIC PLACE NATICK MA 01760
Guindo Chirfi officer: EVP Glob. Mkt Acc & Cust Innov C/O BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Gregory Ginger officer: EVP, Human Resources C/O BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Kress Jean-paul officer: EVP Pres Int'l & Global Hd GTO 215 FIRST STREET, SUITE 415 CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Mckenzie Paul officer: EVP Pharmaceutical Oper & Tech BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142

Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Headlines

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