GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NAS » Automatic Data Processing Inc (NAS:ADP) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Switch to:

Automatic Data Processing Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 13.14% (As of Jun. 2022)
View and export this data going back to 1968. Start your Free Trial

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Automatic Data Processing's forward rate of return for was 13.14%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ADP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 12.1   Max: 16.25
Current: 12.76

During the past 13 years, Automatic Data Processing's highest Forward Rate of Return was 16.25. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 12.10.

ADP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
54.83% of 662 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 11.57 vs ADP: 12.76

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Automatic Data Processing Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Automatic Data Processing Annual Data
Trend Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.22 13.34 14.54 12.68 13.14

Automatic Data Processing Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.68 12.36 11.84 12.50 13.14

Competitive Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Automatic Data Processing Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Automatic Data Processing Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.30990476/210.04+0.1061
=13.14 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Automatic Data Processing  (NAS:ADP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Automatic Data Processing Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Automatic Data Processing's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Automatic Data Processing Business Description

Automatic Data Processing logo
Address
One ADP Boulevard, Roseland, NJ, USA, 07068
ADP is a provider of payroll and human capital management solutions servicing the full scope of businesses from micro to global enterprises. ADP was established in 1949 and serves over 920,000 clients primarily in the United States. ADP's employer services segment offers payroll, HCM solutions, HR outsourcing, insurance and retirement services. The smaller but faster-growing PEO segment provides HR outsourcing solutions to small and midsize businesses through a co-employment model.
Executives
Goeckeler David director C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION 5601 GREAT OAKS PARKWAY SAN JOSE CA 95119
Blanchard Augusto J officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Sperduto James T officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Magliulo Virginia officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Quevedo Alexander officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Kwon David officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAD NJ 07068
D'ambrosio Christopher officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Haynesworth Linnie M director 214 N TRYON STREET CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Brown Laura G officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Keene Nazzic S director 1710 SAIC DRIVE MCLEAN VA 22102
Michaud Brian L. officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Desilva Joseph officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Katsoudas Francine S director ONE ADP BOULEVARD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Winters Kathleen A officer: Corp. VP 101 COLUMBIA ROAD MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Levin Matthew officer: Corp VP NEUSTAR, INC. 4600 CENTER OAK PLAZA STERLING VA 20166

Automatic Data Processing Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)