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Alphabet(Google) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 22.65% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Alphabet(Google)'s forward rate of return for was 22.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

GOOGL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: 18.68   Max: 28.66
Current: 22.37

During the past 13 years, Alphabet(Google)'s highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.66. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was 18.68.

GOOGL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
70.51% of 217 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 16.06 vs GOOGL: 22.37

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Alphabet(Google) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alphabet(Google) Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.24 17.23 21.47 21.43 21.85

Alphabet(Google) Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.92 21.88 21.85 22.02 22.65

Competitive Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Alphabet(Google) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Alphabet(Google) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.88495238/108.963+0.2
=22.65 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alphabet(Google)  (NAS:GOOGL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Alphabet(Google) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alphabet(Google)'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alphabet(Google) Business Description

Alphabet(Google) logo
Address
1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94043
Alphabet Inc is a holding company, with Google, the Internet media giant, as a wholly owned subsidiary. Google generates 99% of Alphabet revenue, of which more than 85% is from online ads. Google's other revenue is from sales of apps and content on Google Play and YouTube, as well as cloud service fees and other licensing revenue. Sales of hardware such as Chromebooks, the Pixel smartphone, and smart homes products, which include Nest and Google Home, also contribute to other revenue. Alphabet's moonshot investments are in its other bets segment, where it bets on technology to enhance health (Verily), faster Internet access to homes (Google Fiber), self-driving cars (Waymo), and more. Alphabet's operating margin has been 25%-30%, with Google at 30% and other bets operating at a loss.
Executives
Schindler Philipp officer: SVP, Chief Business Officer C/O ALPHABET INC. 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PKWY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94568
Walker John Kent officer: SVP, Global Affairs and CLO 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PRKW MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Raghavan Prabhakar officer: Senior Vice President C/O ALPHABET INC., 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PKWY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Arnold Frances director 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Washington Robin L director 333 LAKESIDE DRIVE FOSTER CITY CA 94404
O'toole Amie Thuener officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O ALPHABET INC. 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PKWY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Lee Antonio 10 percent owner, other: Investor/Large Shareholder 4009 216TH STREET MATTESON IL 60443
Ferguson Roger W. Jr. director CORNING INCORPORATED ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA CORNING NY 14831
Campbell James Grier officer: VP, Alphabet Corp. Controller 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PKWY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Hennessy John L director
Mulally Alan R director P.O. BOX 995 MERCER ISLAND WA 98040
Shriram Kavitark Ram director 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Mather Ann director
Tilghman Shirley M director GOOGLE INC. 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Otellini Paul S director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD RNB-4-151 SANTA CLARA CA 95054

Alphabet(Google) Headlines

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