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Chevron Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 5.08% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Chevron's forward rate of return for was 5.08%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CVX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -19.17   Med: 2.96   Max: 13.74
Current: 4.71

During the past 13 years, Chevron's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.74. The lowest was -19.17. And the median was 2.96.

CVX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
53.17% of 583 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 6.38 vs CVX: 4.71

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Chevron Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chevron Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -16.81 -7.15 4.00 7.93 2.79

Chevron Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.00 3.34 2.79 1.94 5.08

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Chevron Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Chevron Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Chevron's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=7.54095238/144.78+-0.0013
=5.08 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chevron  (NYSE:CVX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Chevron Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chevron's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chevron Business Description

Chevron logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Address
6001 Bollinger Canyon Road, San Ramon, CA, USA, 94583-2324
Chevron is an integrated energy company with exploration, production, and refining operations worldwide. It is the second- largest oil company in the United States with production of 3.1 million of barrels of oil equivalent a day, including 7.7 million cubic feet a day of natural gas and 1.8 million of barrels of liquids a day. Production activities take place in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. Its refineries are in the U.S. and Asia for total refining capacity of 1.8 million barrels of oil a day. Proven reserves at year-end 2021 stood at 11.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent, including 6.1 billion barrels of liquids and 30.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.
Executives
Bonner Eimear P officer: Vice President 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Hewson Marillyn A director C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION PO BOX 14662 READING PA 19612-4662
Inchausti David A officer: Vice Pres. and Comptroller 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Parfitt Colin E officer: Vice President 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Morris Rhonda J officer: Vice President 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Reed Debra L director 488 8TH AVENUE SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Umpleby Iii Donald J director 510 LAKE COOK ROAD SUITE 100 DEERFIELD IL 60015
Nelson Mark A officer: Vice President 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Frank John director C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 333 SOUTH GRAND 28TH FLOOR LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Austin Wanda M director 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Moyo Dambisa F director 10200 S. DEANZA BOULEVARD CUPERTINO CA 95014
Ourada Jeanette L officer: Vice Pres. and Comptroller 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Thulin Inge G director 1250 5TH AVENUE SOUTH NAPLES FL 34102
Cummings Alexander B Jr director
Huntsman Jon M Jr director 500 HUNTSMAN WAY SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108

Chevron Headlines

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