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FirstEnergy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -9.50% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. FirstEnergy's forward rate of return for was -9.50%.

The historical rank and industry rank for FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.94   Med: -4.43   Max: 6.24
Current: -9.45

During the past 13 years, FirstEnergy's highest Forward Rate of Return was 6.24. The lowest was -10.94. And the median was -4.43.

FE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
84.05% of 395 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 4.51 vs FE: -9.45

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


FirstEnergy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FirstEnergy Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.13 2.77 1.07 -9.76 -10.87

FirstEnergy Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.09 -9.36 -10.87 -10.10 -9.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

FirstEnergy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



FirstEnergy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.45942857/38.39+-0.083
=-9.50 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


FirstEnergy  (NYSE:FE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


FirstEnergy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FirstEnergy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FirstEnergy Business Description

FirstEnergy logo
Industry
Address
76 South Main Street, Akron, OH, USA, 44308
FirstEnergy is one of the largest investor-owned utilities in the United States with 10 regulated distribution companies across six mid-Atlantic and Midwestern states. FirstEnergy also owns and operates one of the nation's largest electric transmission systems with 24,000 miles of lines.
Executives
Croom Jana T director 1205 KIMBALL BLVD. JASPER IN 47546
Klimczak Sean director C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP 345 PARK AVE. NEW YORK NY 10154
Hicks Lisa Winston director 76 S. MAIN ST AKRON OH 44308
Kaleta Paul J director P O BOX 30150 RENO NV 89520
Williams Melvin D. director 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Teno Andrew director C/O FIR TREE INC. 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10036
Lynn Jesse director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P. 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Somerhalder John W Ii director, officer: Vice Chair & Exec Director 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Park Hyun officer: SVP & CLO 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Turner Leslie M director THE HERSHEY COMPANY 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE HERSHEY PA 17036
Mikkelsen Eileen officer: VP, Rates & Regulatory Affairs 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Prezelj Irena officer: VP, Investor Relations 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Walker Christine officer: VP, Human Resources 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Belcher Samuel officer: SVP & President, FE Utilities 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44308
Lisowski Jason officer: VP, Controller & CAO 76 SOUTH MAIN STREET AKRON OH 44333

FirstEnergy Headlines

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