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NiSource Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -5.41% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. NiSource's forward rate of return for was -5.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -19.84   Med: -5.92   Max: -0.08
Current: -5.2

During the past 13 years, NiSource's highest Forward Rate of Return was -0.08. The lowest was -19.84. And the median was -5.92.

NI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
78.99% of 395 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 4.53 vs NI: -5.20

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


NiSource Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NiSource Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.55 -8.47 -12.96 -19.26 -11.51

NiSource Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -17.25 -15.21 -11.51 -7.48 -5.41

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

NiSource Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



NiSource Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

NiSource's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-1.97790476/29.49+0.013
=-5.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NiSource  (NYSE:NI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


NiSource Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NiSource's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NiSource Business Description

NiSource logo
Industry
Address
801 East 86th Avenue, Merrillville, IN, USA, 46410
NiSource is one of the nation's largest natural gas distribution companies with approximately 3.5 million customers in Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. NiSource's electric utility transmits and distributes electricity in northern Indiana to about 500,000 customers. The regulated electric utility also owns more than 3,000 megawatts of generation capacity, most of which is now coal-fired but is being replaced by natural gas and renewable energy.
Executives
Johnson William D director 77 BEALE ST PO BOX 770000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177
Lee Cassandra S. director 7615 ZIONSVILLE RD INDIANAPOLIS IN 46268
Barbour Sondra L director 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE BETHESDA MD 20817
Cuccia Kimberly S officer: VP, Interim GC & Corp Sec 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Gode Gunnar officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1000 MAINE AVENUE, SW WASHINGTON DC 20024
D'angelo Anne-marie W officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Anderson Shawn officer: SVP & Chief Strategy & Risk 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Creekmur Daniel A officer: SVP & President, Gas Utilities 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Hooper Michael officer: SVP and President, NIPSCO 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Yates Lloyd M director 1N 2ND ST HARTSVILLE SC 29550
Shafer Charles Edward Ii officer: SVP & Chief Safety Officer 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Keener Kenneth E officer: SVP HR & Chief HR Officer 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Hersman Deborah director 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Bunting Theodore H Jr director P. O. BOX 61000 NEW ORLEANS LA 70161
Kempic Mark officer: Chief Transformation Officer 801 E. 86TH AVENUE MERRILLVILLE IN 46410

NiSource Headlines

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