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Select Medical Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 20.10% (As of Jun. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Select Medical Holdings's forward rate of return for was 20.10%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:SEM' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.32   Med: 14.56   Max: 27.11
Current: 21.89

-12.32
27.11

During the past 13 years, Select Medical Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.11. The lowest was -12.32. And the median was 14.56.

NYSE:SEM's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 52 Companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.

( Industry Median: 17.84 vs. NYSE:SEM: 21.89 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Select Medical Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Select Medical Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.16 14.31 20.16 18.27 19.72

Select Medical Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.94 21.91 19.72 19.74 20.10

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Select Medical Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Select Medical Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.79542857/42.26+0.1349
=20.10 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Select Medical Holdings  (NYSE:SEM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Select Medical Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Select Medical Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Select Medical Holdings Business Description

Select Medical Holdings logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4714 Gettysburg Road, P.O. Box 2034, Mechanicsburg, PA, USA, 17055
Select Medical Holdings Corp is a healthcare company that operates through four main segments: critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and Concentra institutions. Critical illness recovery hospitals and rehabilitation centers are designed for patients requiring extended recovery time with medical services. These two sectors combined compose roughly half of the total revenue and include over 100 critical illness recovery hospitals and inpatient rehab facilities. The outpatient rehabilitation segment includes over 1,700 rehabilitation clinics. The Concentra segment includes over 500 institutions. The company is headquartered in Pennsylvania, and it operates across the United States.
Executives
Ortenzio Rocco A director, officer: Vice Chairman and Co-Founder SELECT MEDICAL CORP 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG RD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Romberger Scott A officer: Senior Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Tarvin Michael E officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Saich John A. officer: Executive Vice President C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Chernow David S officer: President and CEO C/O JUNIOR ACHIEVEMENT INC ONE EDUCATION WAY COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80906
Jackson Martin F officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Thomas Daniel director C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD P.O. BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Cressey Bryan C director C/O CLARION TECHNOLOGIES INC 235 CENTRAL AVE HOLLAND MI 49423
Scully Thomas director 320 PARK AVENUE, SUITE # 2500 NEW YORK NM 10022
Carson Russell L director 320 PARK AVENUE STE 2500 NEW YORK NY 10022
Frist William H. director 600 MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Ely James S. Iii director 4000 MERIDIAN BLVD FRANKLIN TN 37067
Ortenzio Robert A director, officer: Exec. Chairman and Co-Founder 4718 OLD GETTYSBURG RD POST OFFICE BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 30309
Tavenner Marilyn B director BOULDERS III 7800 BEAUFORT SPRING DR RICHMOND VA 23235
Breighner Robert G. Jr officer: Vice President, Compliance C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MACHANICSBURG PA 17055

Select Medical Holdings Headlines

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