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Guotai Junan Securities Co (HKSE:02611) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share : HK$9.45 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guotai Junan Securities Co's adjusted book value per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$20.671. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is HK$9.45 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Guotai Junan Securities Co's average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 7.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 6.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 5.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 6.30% per year. The lowest was 4.70% per year. And the median was 5.70% per year.

As of today (2024-06-19), Guotai Junan Securities Co's current stock price is HK$8.15. Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$9.45. Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is 0.86.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 1.85. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.31.


Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Chart

Guotai Junan Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.07 8.09 8.89 9.02 8.93

Guotai Junan Securities Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.44 9.50 8.95 8.93 9.45

Competitive Comparison of Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.



Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the book value per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 book value per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent book value in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's book value is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent book value in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's book value is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 book value in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent book value per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Guotai Junan Securities Co's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_Book= Book Value per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=20.671/115.2271*115.2271
=20.671

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

Guotai Junan Securities Co Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201406 7.363 98.200 8.640
201409 0.000 98.900 0.000
201412 8.635 99.000 10.050
201503 8.134 99.900 9.382
201506 14.961 99.500 17.326
201509 14.723 100.500 16.880
201512 15.025 100.600 17.210
201603 15.087 102.200 17.010
201606 14.561 101.400 16.547
201609 14.868 102.400 16.730
201612 14.699 102.600 16.508
201703 12.908 103.200 14.412
201706 15.373 103.100 17.181
201709 16.476 104.100 18.237
201712 16.711 104.500 18.426
201803 17.846 105.300 19.528
201806 16.975 104.900 18.646
201809 16.212 106.600 17.524
201812 16.083 106.500 17.401
201903 17.096 107.700 18.291
201906 16.407 107.700 17.554
201909 16.719 109.800 17.545
201912 17.176 111.200 17.798
202003 17.253 112.300 17.703
202006 16.250 110.400 16.961
202009 17.269 111.700 17.814
202012 18.277 111.500 18.888
202103 18.934 112.662 19.365
202106 18.975 111.769 19.562
202109 19.445 112.215 19.967
202112 20.222 113.108 20.601
202203 20.662 114.335 20.823
202206 19.380 114.558 19.493
202209 19.418 115.339 19.399
202212 19.775 115.116 19.794
202303 20.576 115.116 20.596
202306 20.107 114.558 20.224
202309 19.986 115.339 19.967
202312 20.509 114.781 20.589
202403 20.671 115.227 20.671

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.


Guotai Junan Securities Co  (HKSE:02611) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share may underestimate the company's equity. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PB Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, the book value of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/B calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is also called CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=8.15/9.45
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 1.85. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.31.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real book value.


Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guotai Junan Securities Co (HKSE:02611) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 768 Nanjing West Road, Guotai Junan Mansion, Jingan District, Shanghai, CHN, 200041
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd is engaged in providing brokerage services, corporate finance, asset management services, and loans and financing services. Its segments include wealth management, investment banking, institutional and trading, investment management, international business and other segments. The company derives most of its revenue from the institutional and trading segment which consists of research, institutional brokerage, trading and investment; and equity investment.
Executives
A9 Usd (feeder) L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ward Jacqueline Mary Le Maitre 2301 Trustee
Guille Andrew William 2301 Trustee
Diamond Holding Sarl 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Diamond Acquisitionco Sarl 2101 Beneficial owner
Apax Ix Usd L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Ix Usd Gp L.p. Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Ix Gp Co. Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Guernsey (holdco) Pcc Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sihchong Kong Investment Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Ning Quan Zi Chan Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2102 Investment manager
Shang Hai Guo Ji Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Guo You Zi Chan Jing Ying You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
New China Asset Management Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. 2501 Other

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