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Guotai Junan Securities Co (HKSE:02611) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : HK$1.17 (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guotai Junan Securities Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2024 was HK$1.326. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$1.17 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Guotai Junan Securities Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 7.80% per year. The lowest was 2.90% per year. And the median was 6.70% per year.

As of today (2024-09-19), Guotai Junan Securities Co's current stock price is HK$7.906. Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2024 was HK$1.17. Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 6.76.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 17.37. The lowest was 5.74. And the median was 8.52.


Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Guotai Junan Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.46 1.28 1.28 1.53 1.28

Guotai Junan Securities Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.50 1.16 1.28 1.15 1.17

Competitive Comparison of Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Guotai Junan Securities Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2024)
=1.326/114.7809*114.7809
=1.326

Current CPI (Jun. 2024) = 114.7809.

Guotai Junan Securities Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201409 1.952 98.900 2.265
201412 7.004 99.000 8.120
201503 4.338 99.900 4.984
201506 18.941 99.500 21.850
201509 -6.906 100.500 -7.887
201512 -7.947 100.600 -9.067
201603 -0.097 102.200 -0.109
201606 -1.807 101.400 -2.045
201609 -6.480 102.400 -7.263
201612 -0.560 102.600 -0.626
201703 -3.323 103.200 -3.696
201706 0.113 103.100 0.126
201709 -3.055 104.100 -3.368
201712 -2.581 104.500 -2.835
201803 4.693 105.300 5.116
201806 0.540 104.900 0.591
201809 0.554 106.600 0.597
201812 3.506 106.500 3.779
201903 1.830 107.700 1.950
201906 2.403 107.700 2.561
201909 -1.040 109.800 -1.087
201912 1.042 111.200 1.076
202003 1.785 112.300 1.824
202006 -0.881 110.400 -0.916
202009 -1.579 111.700 -1.623
202012 3.340 111.500 3.438
202103 -1.800 112.662 -1.834
202106 -0.709 111.769 -0.728
202109 2.377 112.215 2.431
202112 1.371 113.108 1.391
202203 2.361 114.335 2.370
202206 1.324 114.558 1.327
202209 0.000 115.339 0.000
202212 2.524 115.116 2.517
202303 -2.514 115.116 -2.507
202306 3.036 114.558 3.042
202309 -3.345 115.339 -3.329
202312 3.268 114.781 3.268
202403 -1.502 115.227 -1.496
202406 1.326 114.781 1.326

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Guotai Junan Securities Co  (HKSE:02611) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=7.906/1.17
=6.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Guotai Junan Securities Co was 17.37. The lowest was 5.74. And the median was 8.52.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Guotai Junan Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guotai Junan Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guotai Junan Securities Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 768 Nanjing West Road, Guotai Junan Mansion, Jingan District, Shanghai, CHN, 200041
Guotai Junan Securities Co Ltd is engaged in providing brokerage services, corporate finance, asset management services, and loans and financing services. Its segments include wealth management, investment banking, institutional and trading, investment management, international business and other segments. The company derives most of its revenue from the institutional and trading segment which consists of research, institutional brokerage, trading and investment; and equity investment.
Executives
A9 Usd (feeder) L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ward Jacqueline Mary Le Maitre 2301 Trustee
Guille Andrew William 2301 Trustee
Diamond Holding Sarl 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Diamond Acquisitionco Sarl 2101 Beneficial owner
Apax Ix Usd L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Ix Usd Gp L.p. Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Ix Gp Co. Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Apax Guernsey (holdco) Pcc Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sihchong Kong Investment Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Ning Quan Zi Chan Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2102 Investment manager
Shang Hai Guo Ji Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Shang Hai Guo You Zi Chan Jing Ying You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
New China Asset Management Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. 2501 Other

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