HUBG (Hub Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.04 (As of Sep. 2025)

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HUBG Hub Group Inc HUBG
78 GF Score
Price $48.22
GF Value $35.71
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Hub Group HUBG +1.97% 78 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.04 as of Sep. 2025. GuruFocus rates HUBG with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $35.71 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Hub Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Sep. 2025 was $0.321. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.04 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Hub Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 33.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 31.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Hub Group was 38.00% per year. The lowest was -12.10% per year. And the median was 5.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-15), Hub Group's current stock price is $48.22. Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2025 was $2.04. Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.64.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Hub Group was 63.51. The lowest was 16.00. And the median was 40.29.


Hub Group  (NAS:HUBG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=48.22/2.04
=23.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Hub Group was 63.51. The lowest was 16.00. And the median was 40.29.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Hub Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.62 0.82 1.16 1.63 1.95

Hub Group Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.96 1.95 2.01 2.06 2.04

HUBG vs PBI, CYRX, FWRD: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


HUBG
78GF Score
Hub Group Inc HUBG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hub Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Hub Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Sep. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2025)
=0.321/324.8000*324.8000
=0.321

Current CPI (Sep. 2025) = 324.8000.

Hub Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201512 -0.045 236.525 -0.062
201603 0.646 238.132 0.881
201606 0.027 241.018 0.036
201609 -0.421 241.428 -0.566
201612 -0.362 241.432 -0.487
201703 0.615 243.801 0.819
201706 -0.113 244.955 -0.150
201709 0.205 246.819 0.270
201712 0.052 246.524 0.069
201803 0.164 249.554 0.213
201806 0.259 251.989 0.334
201809 -0.393 252.439 -0.506
201812 0.136 251.233 0.176
201903 0.690 254.202 0.882
201906 0.892 256.143 1.131
201909 -0.503 256.759 -0.636
201912 1.298 256.974 1.641
202003 0.227 258.115 0.286
202006 0.703 257.797 0.886
202009 0.076 260.280 0.095
202012 -0.114 260.474 -0.142
202103 1.745 264.877 2.140
202106 0.439 271.696 0.525
202109 -0.791 274.310 -0.937
202112 0.380 278.802 0.443
202203 0.725 287.504 0.819
202206 0.965 296.311 1.058
202209 1.164 296.808 1.274
202212 0.704 296.797 0.770
202303 0.952 301.836 1.024
202306 1.443 305.109 1.536
202309 0.973 307.789 1.027
202312 1.040 306.746 1.101
202403 1.022 312.332 1.063
202406 0.920 314.175 0.951
202409 0.515 315.301 0.531
202412 -0.116 315.605 -0.119
202503 0.842 319.799 0.855
202506 0.834 322.561 0.840
202509 0.321 324.800 0.321

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.04 mean?
Hub Group (HUBG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.04 as of Sep. 2025. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Hub Group and its competitors.
Is Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Hub Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.04. Overall, Hub Group has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to PBI and CYRX?
Hub Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.04 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Hub Group and its competitors. Hub Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hub Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hub Group (HUBG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $35.71, compared to a current price of $48.22 — trading 35% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.04. Hub Group's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hub Group (HUBG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.04 as of Sep. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hub Group (HUBG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hub Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $48.22 is trading 35% above its estimated GF Value™ of $35.71. GuruFocus considers Hub Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HUBG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.04
  • GF Value™: $35.71 vs. price of $48.22 (35% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HUBG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hub Group Business Description

Address 2001 Hub Group Way, Oak Brook, IL, USA, 60523
Hub Group ranks among the largest providers of rail intermodal service. Approximately 60% of consolidated revenue comes from Hub's intermodal and transportation solutions division. ITS includes its flagship intermodal operations, which use the Class I rail carriers for the underlying line-haul movement of containers, as well as its dedicated truckload shipping unit. Hub's logistics segment includes its asset-light truck brokerage operations along with its outsourced transportation management, warehousing and fulfillment, and heavy-goods final mile delivery offerings. Hub often makes tuck-in acquisitions that expand its brokerage, last-mile, and dedicated offerings.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HUBG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$48.22
Price
$35.71
GF Value