American Airlines Group (MEX:AAL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-38.79 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:AAL American Airlines Group Inc MEX:AAL
70 GF Score
Price MXN291.46
GF Value MXN266.95
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

American Airlines Group MEX:AAL -3.17% 70 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-38.79 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:AAL with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN266.95 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

American Airlines Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN93.057. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN-38.79 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of American Airlines Group was 51.10% per year. The lowest was -50.10% per year. And the median was 9.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-11), American Airlines Group's current stock price is MXN291.46. American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-38.79. American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


American Airlines Group  (MEX:AAL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

American Airlines Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -79.48 -69.41 -43.33 -43.86 -42.80

American Airlines Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -42.40 -40.18 -40.67 -42.80 -38.79

MEX:AAL vs CPA, ALK, SKYW: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:AAL
70GF Score
American Airlines Group Inc MEX:AAL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

American Airlines Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, American Airlines Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=93.057/330.2130*330.2130
=93.057

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

American Airlines Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 23.099 241.018 31.647
201609 -5.268 241.428 -7.205
201612 -33.131 241.432 -45.314
201703 19.875 243.801 26.919
201706 7.627 244.955 10.282
201709 -37.294 246.819 -49.895
201712 -39.780 246.524 -53.284
201803 39.084 249.554 51.716
201806 6.005 251.989 7.869
201809 -43.854 252.439 -57.365
201812 -12.455 251.233 -16.370
201903 14.802 254.202 19.228
201906 -12.157 256.143 -15.672
201909 0.982 256.759 1.263
201912 -27.576 256.974 -35.435
202003 -55.795 258.115 -71.380
202006 -69.762 257.797 -89.358
202009 -138.045 260.280 -175.135
202012 -110.731 260.474 -140.378
202103 4.252 264.877 5.301
202106 104.174 271.696 126.611
202109 -51.267 274.310 -61.715
202112 -40.252 278.802 -47.674
202203 11.588 287.504 13.309
202206 31.947 296.311 35.602
202209 -29.443 296.808 -32.757
202212 -24.557 296.797 -27.322
202303 77.622 301.836 84.920
202306 24.405 305.109 26.413
202309 -12.010 307.789 -12.885
202312 -52.826 306.746 -56.867
202403 34.314 312.332 36.278
202406 12.132 314.175 12.751
202409 -5.721 315.301 -5.992
202412 -19.665 315.605 -20.575
202503 50.674 319.799 52.324
202506 13.230 322.561 13.544
202509 -24.223 324.800 -24.627
202512 -81.887 324.054 -83.443
202603 93.057 330.213 93.057

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-38.79 mean?
American Airlines Group (MEX:AAL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-38.79 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on American Airlines Group and its competitors.
Is American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
American Airlines Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-38.79. Overall, American Airlines Group has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CPA and ALK?
American Airlines Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-38.79 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on American Airlines Group and its competitors. American Airlines Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-38.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American Airlines Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Airlines Group (MEX:AAL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN266.95, compared to a current price of MXN291.46 — trading 9.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-38.79. American Airlines Group's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American Airlines Group (MEX:AAL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-38.79 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is American Airlines Group (MEX:AAL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Airlines Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN291.46 is trading 9.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN266.95. GuruFocus considers American Airlines Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:AAL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-38.79
  • GF Value™: MXN266.95 vs. price of MXN291.46 (9.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:AAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


American Airlines Group Business Description

Address 1 Skyview Drive, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76155
American Airlines is the world's largest airline by aircraft, capacity, and scheduled revenue passenger miles. Its major US hubs are Dallas/Fort Worth, Charlotte, Chicago, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. It generates over 30% of US airline revenue connecting Latin America with destinations in the United States. After completing a major fleet renewal, the company has the youngest average fleet of US legacy carriers.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:AAL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN291.46
Price
MXN266.95
GF Value