Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-26.89 (As of May. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:CCL1N Carnival Corporation Ltd MEX:CCL1N
71 GF Score
Price MXN514.00
GF Value MXN420.19
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Carnival MEX:CCL1N 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-26.89 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CCL1N with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN420.19 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Carnival's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in May. 2026 was MXN21.937. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN-26.89 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Carnival was 139.10% per year. The lowest was -46.50% per year. And the median was 14.70% per year.

As of today (2026-08-09), Carnival's current stock price is MXN514.00. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was MXN-26.89. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 246.33. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 39.47.


Carnival  (MEX:CCL1N) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 246.33. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 39.47.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.83 -21.68 -21.13 -26.12 -28.01

Carnival Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -26.08 -27.89 -28.01 -26.10 -26.89

MEX:CCL1N vs EXPE, TCOM, VIK: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CCL1N
71GF Score
Carnival Corporation Ltd MEX:CCL1N
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Carnival's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=21.937/335.1230*335.1230
=21.937

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201608 24.970 240.849 34.744
201611 10.636 241.353 14.768
201702 14.284 243.603 19.650
201705 12.060 244.733 16.514
201708 24.795 245.519 33.844
201711 9.744 246.669 13.238
201802 12.840 248.991 17.282
201805 11.077 251.588 14.755
201808 20.817 252.146 27.668
201811 4.291 252.038 5.706
201902 -28.080 252.776 -37.228
201905 32.923 256.092 43.083
201908 23.756 256.558 31.031
201911 -26.095 257.208 -34.000
202002 -11.826 258.678 -15.321
202005 -94.153 256.394 -123.064
202008 -86.842 259.918 -111.969
202011 -73.956 260.229 -95.241
202102 -62.652 263.014 -79.829
202105 -30.670 269.195 -38.181
202108 -32.636 273.567 -39.980
202111 -16.203 277.948 -19.536
202202 -70.738 283.716 -83.555
202205 -8.424 292.296 -9.658
202208 -14.950 296.171 -16.916
202211 -19.982 297.711 -22.493
202302 -10.002 300.840 -11.142
202305 6.183 304.127 6.813
202308 12.056 307.026 13.159
202311 3.401 307.051 3.712
202402 -4.993 310.326 -5.392
202405 9.627 314.069 10.272
202408 8.855 314.796 9.427
202411 4.651 315.493 4.940
202502 4.986 319.082 5.237
202505 21.387 321.465 22.296
202508 9.901 323.976 10.242
202511 0.156 324.122 0.161
202602 8.623 326.785 8.843
202605 21.937 335.123 21.937

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-26.89 mean?
Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-26.89 as of May. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors.
Is Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-26.89. Overall, Carnival has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to EXPE and TCOM?
Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-26.89 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors. Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-26.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carnival stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN420.19, compared to a current price of MXN514.00 — trading 22.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-26.89. Carnival's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carnival (MEX:CCL1N), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-26.89 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN514.00 is trading 22.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN420.19. GuruFocus considers Carnival to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CCL1N:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-26.89
  • GF Value™: MXN420.19 vs. price of MXN514.00 (22.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CCL1N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carnival Business Description

Address 3655 N.W. 87th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33178-2428
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CCL1N

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN514.00
Price
MXN420.19
GF Value