Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.36 (As of Aug. 09, 2026) — 14% Above Median

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MEX:CCL1N Carnival Corporation Ltd MEX:CCL1N
71 GF Score
Price MXN514.00
GF Value MXN420.19
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Carnival MEX:CCL1N 71 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.36 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 14% above its 10-year median of 1.19. GuruFocus rates MEX:CCL1N with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN420.19 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 674 Travel & Leisure companies, Carnival ranks worse than 50.3% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-09), Carnival's current share price is MXN514.00. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was MXN378.59. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.36.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CCL1N' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 1.19   Max: 3.35
Current: 1.34

During the past years, Carnival's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 3.35. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 1.19.

MEX:CCL1N's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
50.3% of 674 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.33 vs MEX:CCL1N: 1.34

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Carnival's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was MXN83.287. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is MXN378.59 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Carnival  (MEX:CCL1N) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.80 0.45 0.69 1.18 1.21

Carnival Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.07 1.48 1.21 1.48 1.29

MEX:CCL1N vs EXPE, TCOM, VIK: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


MEX:CCL1N
71GF Score
Carnival Corporation Ltd MEX:CCL1N
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=514.00/378.59
=1.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Carnival's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=83.287/335.1230*335.1230
=83.287

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201608 130.005 240.849 180.892
201611 110.724 241.353 153.742
201702 104.135 243.603 143.258
201705 101.230 244.733 138.618
201708 135.121 245.519 184.434
201711 110.376 246.669 149.956
201802 110.894 248.991 149.255
201805 121.877 251.588 162.344
201808 158.600 252.146 210.793
201811 129.179 252.038 171.763
201902 129.533 252.776 171.731
201905 137.167 256.092 179.497
201908 189.726 256.558 247.825
201911 135.610 257.208 176.690
202002 138.168 258.678 179.000
202005 22.754 256.394 29.741
202008 0.875 259.918 1.128
202011 0.724 260.229 0.932
202102 0.497 263.014 0.633
202105 0.863 269.195 1.074
202108 9.674 273.567 11.851
202111 24.390 277.948 29.407
202202 29.124 283.716 34.401
202205 41.449 292.296 47.522
202208 72.988 296.171 82.587
202211 59.099 297.711 66.526
202302 64.542 300.840 71.897
202305 69.014 304.127 76.048
202308 82.881 307.026 90.466
202311 74.295 307.051 81.087
202402 72.969 310.326 78.800
202405 77.295 314.069 82.477
202408 111.331 314.796 118.520
202411 86.567 315.493 91.953
202502 91.102 319.082 95.682
202505 87.824 321.465 91.555
202508 109.679 323.976 113.453
202511 82.539 324.122 85.340
202602 76.268 326.785 78.214
202605 83.287 335.123 83.287

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.36 mean?
Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.36 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors. This is 14% above median its historical median of 1.19. Over the past decade, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.30 to 3.35. According to the industry distribution chart, Carnival ranks #339 out of 674 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 50.3%.
Is Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.36 is 14% above median its 10-year median of 1.19. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.30 to a high of 3.35. The Travel & Leisure industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.33. Carnival's value of 1.36 is 2.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Carnival ranks #339 out of 674 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Carnival has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to EXPE and TCOM?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Carnival ranks #339 out of 674 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Carnival in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.33. Carnival's value of 1.36 is 2.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Carnival's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.30 to 3.35 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.19 vs. the industry median of 1.33, Carnival has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Travel & Leisure companies is 1.33, based on 674 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.36 is 2.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.36, which is 14% above median its own 10-year median of 1.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carnival stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN420.19, compared to a current price of MXN514.00 — trading 22.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.36, which is 14% above median its 10-year median of 1.19 and 2.3% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 1.33. Carnival's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carnival (MEX:CCL1N), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.36 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carnival (MEX:CCL1N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN514.00 is trading 22.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN420.19. GuruFocus considers Carnival to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CCL1N:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.36 (14% above median its 10-year median of 1.19)
  • GF Value™: MXN420.19 vs. price of MXN514.00 (22.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2.3% above the Travel & Leisure median (#339 of 674)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CCL1N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carnival Business Description

Address 3655 N.W. 87th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33178-2428
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CCL1N

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN514.00
Price
MXN420.19
GF Value