CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN140.63 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:CF CF Industries Holdings Inc MEX:CF
28 GF Score
Price MXN2,013.90
GF Value MXN2,063.49
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

CF Industries Holdings MEX:CF -4.55% 28 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN140.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CF with a GF Score™ of 28/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,063.49 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

CF Industries Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN31.630. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN140.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, CF Industries Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 39.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 26.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 29.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of CF Industries Holdings was 28.10% per year. The lowest was -21.00% per year. And the median was 25.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-13), CF Industries Holdings's current stock price is MXN2013.90. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN140.63. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 14.32.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CF Industries Holdings was 44.99. The lowest was 11.04. And the median was 23.75.


CF Industries Holdings  (MEX:CF) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2013.90/140.63
=14.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CF Industries Holdings was 44.99. The lowest was 11.04. And the median was 23.75.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

CF Industries Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 85.31 63.84 79.12 142.78

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 91.12 85.74 114.63 142.78 140.63

MEX:CF vs MOS, SMG, FMC: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CF
28GF Score
CF Industries Holdings Inc MEX:CF
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, CF Industries Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=31.63/330.2130*330.2130
=31.630

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -47.758 241.018 -65.432
201609 -24.470 241.428 -33.469
201612 -32.413 241.432 -44.332
201703 21.163 243.801 28.664
201706 57.237 244.955 77.159
201709 8.483 246.819 11.349
201712 3.911 246.524 5.239
201803 16.558 249.554 21.910
201806 19.992 251.989 26.198
201809 40.718 252.439 53.263
201812 9.370 251.233 12.316
201903 19.519 254.202 25.356
201906 27.046 256.143 34.867
201909 32.829 256.759 42.221
201912 16.801 256.974 21.589
202003 24.357 258.115 31.161
202006 40.227 257.797 51.527
202009 14.046 260.280 17.820
202012 17.309 260.474 21.943
202103 47.980 264.877 59.815
202106 1.654 271.696 2.010
202109 45.544 274.310 54.826
202112 128.260 278.802 151.911
202203 125.120 287.504 143.707
202206 79.259 296.311 88.327
202209 80.100 296.808 89.115
202212 44.565 296.797 49.583
202303 80.376 301.836 87.933
202306 54.245 305.109 58.708
202309 42.531 307.789 45.630
202312 -83.134 306.746 -89.494
202403 30.440 312.332 32.183
202406 39.186 314.175 41.186
202409 87.316 315.301 91.446
202412 26.686 315.605 27.921
202503 55.024 319.799 56.816
202506 36.596 322.561 37.464
202509 81.593 324.800 82.953
202512 36.150 324.054 36.837
202603 31.630 330.213 31.630

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN140.63 mean?
CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN140.63 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors.
Is CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
CF Industries Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN140.63. Overall, CF Industries Holdings has a GF Score™ of 28/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MOS and SMG?
CF Industries Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN140.63 can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Agriculture company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors. CF Industries Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN140.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CF Industries Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,063.49, compared to a current price of MXN2,013.90 — trading 2.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN140.63. CF Industries Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 28/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN140.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CF Industries Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN2,013.90 is trading 2.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,063.49. GuruFocus considers CF Industries Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CF:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN140.63
  • GF Value™: MXN2,063.49 vs. price of MXN2,013.90 (2.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 28/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CF Industries Holdings Business Description

Address 2375 Waterview Drive, Northbrook, IL, USA, 60062
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost US natural gas as its feedstock, making the company one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. It is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used as an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
28GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CF

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,013.90
Price
MXN2,063.49
GF Value