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CF Industries HoldingsMEX:CF 70 Shiller PE Ratio is 16.17 as of Aug. 21, 2026, which is 3% above its 10-year median of 15.77. GuruFocus rates MEX:CF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,914.41. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 158 Agriculture companies, CF Industries Holdings ranks worse than 63.92% on this metric.
The historical rank and industry rank for CF Industries Holdings's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:CF'
s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.07 Med: 15.77 Max: 33.7
Current: 19.66
During the past years, CF Industries Holdings's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 33.70. The lowest was 7.07. And the median was 15.77.
MEX:CF's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than 63.92% of 158
companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 16.245
vs MEX:CF: 19.66
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
CF Industries Holdings's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN82.534. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is MXN124.54 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
CF Industries Holdings Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
CF Industries Holdings Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for CF Industries Holdings's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:CF vs MOS, SMG, FMC: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, CF Industries Holdings's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
CF Industries Holdings Shiller PE Ratio vs Agriculture Industry
For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, CF Industries Holdings's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where CF Industries Holdings's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
CF Industries Holdings Shiller PE Ratio Calculation
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 16.17 as of Aug. 21, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 15.77. Over the past decade, CF Industries Holdings' Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 7.07 to 33.70. According to the industry distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #101 out of 158 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 63.9%.
Is CF Industries Holdings' Shiller PE Ratio too high?
CF Industries Holdings' current Shiller PE Ratio of 16.17 is near median its 10-year median of 15.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 7.07 to a high of 33.70. The Agriculture industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.25. CF Industries Holdings' value of 16.17 is 0.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #101 out of 158 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, CF Industries Holdings has a GF Score™ of 70/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CF Industries Holdings' Shiller PE Ratio compare to MOS and SMG?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, CF Industries Holdings ranks #101 out of 158 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places CF Industries Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.25. CF Industries Holdings' value of 16.17 is 0.5% below this benchmark. Historically, CF Industries Holdings' own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 7.07 to 33.70 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.77 vs. the industry median of 16.25, CF Industries Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for an Agriculture company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Agriculture companies is 16.25, based on 158 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. CF Industries Holdings's current Shiller PE Ratio of 16.17 is 0.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on CF Industries Holdings and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CF Industries Holdings's current Shiller PE Ratio is 16.17, which is near median its own 10-year median of 15.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CF Industries Holdings stock overvalued right now?
CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) has a current Shiller PE Ratio of 16.17. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,914.41, compared to a current price of MXN2,013.90 — trading 5.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 16.17, which is near median its 10-year median of 15.77 and 0.5% below the Agriculture industry median of 16.25. CF Industries Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 16.17 as of Aug. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is CF Industries Holdings (MEX:CF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CF Industries Holdings stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN2,013.90 is trading 5.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,914.41.
Key valuation signals for MEX:CF:
Shiller PE Ratio: 16.17 (near median its 10-year median of 15.77)
GF Value™: MXN1,914.41 vs. price of MXN2,013.90 (5.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 0.5% below the Agriculture median (#101 of 158)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost US natural gas as its feedstock, making the company one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. It is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used as an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
70GF Score
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