Shake Shack (MEX:SHAK) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-6.14 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:SHAK Shake Shack Inc MEX:SHAK
76 GF Score
Price MXN991.00
GF Value MXN2,159.23
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Shake Shack MEX:SHAK -5.44% 76 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-6.14 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SHAK with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,159.23 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shake Shack's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-17.323. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN-6.14 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-27), Shake Shack's current stock price is MXN991.00. Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-6.14. Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Shake Shack  (MEX:SHAK) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Shake Shack Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -19.44 -6.11 -4.84

Shake Shack Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.05 -4.36 -4.65 -4.84 -6.14

MEX:SHAK vs ARCO, BJRI, WEN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:SHAK
76GF Score
Shake Shack Inc MEX:SHAK
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shake Shack Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shake Shack's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-17.323/330.2130*330.2130
=-17.323

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Shake Shack Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 2.839 241.018 3.890
201609 2.651 241.428 3.626
201612 -1.139 241.432 -1.558
201703 -2.505 243.801 -3.393
201706 8.379 244.955 11.295
201709 2.775 246.819 3.713
201712 -2.574 246.524 -3.448
201803 0.924 249.554 1.223
201806 2.115 251.989 2.772
201809 -1.170 252.439 -1.530
201812 -3.096 251.233 -4.069
201903 -4.969 254.202 -6.455
201906 -7.631 256.143 -9.838
201909 7.345 256.759 9.446
201912 -4.780 256.974 -6.142
202003 -7.948 258.115 -10.168
202006 -4.930 257.797 -6.315
202009 0.658 260.280 0.835
202012 -6.810 260.474 -8.633
202103 -6.308 264.877 -7.864
202106 2.500 271.696 3.038
202109 -9.146 274.310 -11.010
202112 -9.423 278.802 -11.161
202203 -10.170 287.504 -11.681
202206 -0.051 296.311 -0.057
202209 -10.427 296.808 -11.601
202212 -12.583 296.797 -14.000
202303 -6.648 301.836 -7.273
202306 0.759 305.109 0.821
202309 -3.913 307.789 -4.198
202312 3.250 306.746 3.499
202403 -0.961 312.332 -1.016
202406 9.101 314.175 9.566
202409 3.471 315.301 3.635
202412 4.887 315.605 5.113
202503 0.914 319.799 0.944
202506 12.117 322.561 12.404
202509 10.400 324.800 10.573
202512 1.715 324.054 1.748
202603 -17.323 330.213 -17.323

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-6.14 mean?
Shake Shack (MEX:SHAK) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-6.14 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shake Shack and its competitors.
Is Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Shake Shack's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-6.14. Overall, Shake Shack has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ARCO and BJRI?
Shake Shack's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN-6.14 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shake Shack and its competitors. Shake Shack's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-6.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shake Shack stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shake Shack (MEX:SHAK) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,159.23, compared to a current price of MXN991.00 — trading 54.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-6.14. Shake Shack's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shake Shack (MEX:SHAK), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN-6.14 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shake Shack (MEX:SHAK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shake Shack stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN991.00 is trading 54.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,159.23. GuruFocus considers Shake Shack to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SHAK:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN-6.14
  • GF Value™: MXN2,159.23 vs. price of MXN991.00 (54.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SHAK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shake Shack Business Description

Other Exchanges SHAK:USA0L5R:UK9SH:Germany
Address 225 Varick Street, Suite 301, New York, NY, USA, 10014
Shake Shack Inc is a roadside burger stand. It serves a classic American menu of premium burgers, hot dogs, crispy chicken, frozen custard, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, beer, wine, and more. The company's burgers are made with a whole-muscle blend of all-natural, hormone and antibiotic-free Angus beef, ground fresh daily, cooked to order, and served on a non-genetically modified organism (GMO) potato bun. Its menu focuses on food and beverages, crafted from a range of classic American foods. The company serves draft Root Beer, seasonal freshly-squeezed lemonade, organic fresh-brewed iced tea, cold brew coffee, organic apple juice, and Shack20 bottled water. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SHAK

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN991.00
Price
MXN2,159.23
GF Value