Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN322.60 (As of Apr. 2026)

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MEX:ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc MEX:ULTA
84 GF Score
Price MXN8,220.00
GF Value MXN10,151.75
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Ulta Beauty MEX:ULTA 84 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN322.60 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ULTA with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN10,151.75 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN81.125. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN322.60 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Ulta Beauty's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 25.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 38.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ulta Beauty was 76.50% per year. The lowest was 19.10% per year. And the median was 32.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-19), Ulta Beauty's current stock price is MXN8220.00. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN322.60. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 25.48.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ulta Beauty was 444.98. The lowest was 24.26. And the median was 54.07.


Ulta Beauty  (MEX:ULTA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=8220.00/322.60
=25.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ulta Beauty was 444.98. The lowest was 24.26. And the median was 54.07.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 146.18 186.68 206.50 302.99 313.05

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 281.85 287.36 280.81 313.05 322.60

MEX:ULTA vs DKS, BBY, TSCO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:ULTA
84GF Score
Ulta Beauty Inc MEX:ULTA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ulta Beauty's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=81.125/333.0200*333.0200
=81.125

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201607 -12.716 240.628 -17.598
201610 -8.458 241.729 -11.652
201701 72.923 242.839 100.004
201704 29.943 244.524 40.780
201707 -20.673 244.786 -28.125
201710 -10.966 246.663 -14.805
201801 105.460 247.867 141.690
201804 62.564 250.546 83.159
201807 13.341 252.006 17.630
201810 13.316 252.885 17.536
201901 112.507 251.712 148.849
201904 64.345 255.548 83.852
201907 31.288 256.571 40.611
201910 6.721 257.346 8.697
202001 160.538 257.971 207.242
202004 -27.963 256.389 -36.321
202007 1.845 259.101 2.371
202010 76.532 260.388 97.880
202101 184.529 261.582 234.924
202104 106.103 267.054 132.312
202107 17.534 273.003 21.389
202110 -14.163 276.589 -17.053
202201 223.874 281.148 265.179
202204 137.539 289.109 158.429
202207 25.479 296.276 28.639
202210 -19.572 298.012 -21.871
202301 294.609 299.170 327.943
202304 69.547 303.363 76.346
202307 9.701 305.691 10.568
202310 -64.941 307.671 -70.291
202401 349.536 308.417 377.419
202404 24.095 313.548 25.591
202407 40.678 314.540 43.068
202410 -72.769 315.664 -76.770
202501 427.190 317.671 447.831
202504 60.697 320.795 63.010
202507 8.152 323.048 8.404
202510 -33.723 0.000
202601 385.499 325.252 394.706
202604 81.125 333.020 81.125

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN322.60 mean?
Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN322.60 as of Apr. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ulta Beauty and its competitors.
Is Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Ulta Beauty's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN322.60. Overall, Ulta Beauty has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DKS and BBY?
Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN322.60 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ulta Beauty and its competitors. Ulta Beauty's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN322.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ulta Beauty stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN10,151.75, compared to a current price of MXN8,220.00 — trading 19% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN322.60. Ulta Beauty's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN322.60 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN8,220.00 is trading 19% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN10,151.75. GuruFocus considers Ulta Beauty to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ULTA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN322.60
  • GF Value™: MXN10,151.75 vs. price of MXN8,220.00 (19% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ULTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ulta Beauty Business Description

Address 1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US with more than 1,500 freestanding stores. The firm offers cosmetics (38% of 2025 sales), fragrances (13%), skin care (24%), and hair care products (19%). It also has salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow, that account for 4% of its revenue and drive customer traffic. Outside of the US, Ulta operates premium beauty retailer Space NK (86 stores at year-end 2025 in the UK and Ireland) and has franchised stores in Mexico, and a joint venture in the Middle East. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ULTA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN8,220.00
Price
MXN10,151.75
GF Value