Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 2.33 (As of Jul. 26, 2026) — 41% Below Median

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MEX:ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc MEX:ULTA
84 GF Score
Price MXN8,220.00
GF Value MXN10,174.02
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Ulta Beauty MEX:ULTA 84 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.33 as of Jul. 26, 2026, which is 41% below its 10-year median of 3.92. GuruFocus rates MEX:ULTA with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN10,174.02 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 792 Retail - Cyclical companies, Ulta Beauty ranks worse than 87.12% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-26), Ulta Beauty's current share price is MXN8220.00. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN3,528.88. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 2.33.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ULTA' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.15   Med: 3.92   Max: 6.94
Current: 2.46

During the past years, Ulta Beauty's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 6.94. The lowest was 2.15. And the median was 3.92.

MEX:ULTA's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
87.12% of 792 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.49 vs MEX:ULTA: 2.46

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was MXN1,260.541. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is MXN3,528.88 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Ulta Beauty  (MEX:ULTA) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.77 4.35 3.61 2.57 3.52

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.37 2.99 2.93 3.52 2.78

MEX:ULTA vs DKS, BBY, TSCO: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


MEX:ULTA
84GF Score
Ulta Beauty Inc MEX:ULTA
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=8220.00/3528.88
=2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Beauty's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=1260.541/333.0200*333.0200
=1,260.541

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201607 319.353 240.628 441.972
201610 339.052 241.729 467.098
201701 526.004 242.839 721.342
201704 397.737 244.524 541.683
201707 369.283 244.786 502.392
201710 416.592 246.663 562.441
201801 588.537 247.867 790.725
201804 475.742 250.546 632.345
201807 458.434 252.006 605.810
201810 526.090 252.885 692.799
201901 681.180 251.712 901.215
201904 561.219 255.548 731.358
201907 541.592 256.571 702.967
201910 558.498 257.346 722.727
202001 761.092 257.971 982.509
202004 498.633 256.389 647.667
202007 483.100 259.101 620.924
202010 583.968 260.388 746.859
202101 785.999 261.582 1,000.655
202104 696.041 267.054 867.973
202107 709.659 273.003 865.670
202110 750.369 276.589 903.463
202201 1,052.357 281.148 1,246.518
202204 908.299 289.109 1,046.255
202207 901.274 296.276 1,013.050
202210 902.804 298.012 1,008.858
202301 1,187.813 299.170 1,322.210
202304 938.870 303.363 1,030.655
202307 848.444 305.691 924.296
202310 912.784 307.671 987.988
202401 1,249.833 308.417 1,349.535
202404 961.419 313.548 1,021.125
202407 995.709 314.540 1,054.209
202410 1,076.222 315.664 1,135.395
202501 1,547.694 317.671 1,622.474
202504 1,226.235 320.795 1,272.965
202507 1,161.883 323.048 1,197.749
202510 1,180.508 0.000
202601 1,519.486 325.252 1,555.776
202604 1,260.541 333.020 1,260.541

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 2.33 mean?
Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 2.33 as of Jul. 26, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ulta Beauty and its competitors. This is 41% below median its historical median of 3.92. Over the past decade, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 2.15 to 6.94. According to the industry distribution chart, Ulta Beauty ranks #690 out of 792 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 87.1%.
Is Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Ulta Beauty's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 2.33 is 41% below median its 10-year median of 3.92. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.15 to a high of 6.94. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.49. Ulta Beauty's value of 2.33 is 375.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ulta Beauty ranks #690 out of 792 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ulta Beauty has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to DKS and BBY?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Ulta Beauty ranks #690 out of 792 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Ulta Beauty in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.49. Ulta Beauty's value of 2.33 is 375.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Ulta Beauty's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 2.15 to 6.94 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.92 vs. the industry median of 0.49, Ulta Beauty has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.49, based on 792 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ulta Beauty's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 2.33 is 375.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ulta Beauty and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.49 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ulta Beauty's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.33, which is 41% below median its own 10-year median of 3.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ulta Beauty stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN10,174.02, compared to a current price of MXN8,220.00 — trading 19.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.33, which is 41% below median its 10-year median of 3.92 and 375.5% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.49. Ulta Beauty's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.33 as of Jul. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ulta Beauty (MEX:ULTA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN8,220.00 is trading 19.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN10,174.02. GuruFocus considers Ulta Beauty to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ULTA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 2.33 (41% below median its 10-year median of 3.92)
  • GF Value™: MXN10,174.02 vs. price of MXN8,220.00 (19.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 375.5% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#690 of 792)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ULTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ulta Beauty Business Description

Address 1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US with more than 1,500 freestanding stores. The firm offers cosmetics (38% of 2025 sales), fragrances (13%), skin care (24%), and hair care products (19%). It also has salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow, that account for 4% of its revenue and drive customer traffic. Outside of the US, Ulta operates premium beauty retailer Space NK (86 stores at year-end 2025 in the UK and Ireland) and has franchised stores in Mexico, and a joint venture in the Middle East. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ULTA

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN8,220.00
Price
MXN10,174.02
GF Value