Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: 円255.59 (As of Jun. 2026)

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TSE:4578 Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd TSE:4578
83 GF Score
Price 円12,435.00
GF Value 円9,063.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Otsuka Holdings Co TSE:4578 +1.51% 83 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円255.59 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4578 with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of 円9,063.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Otsuka Holdings Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was 円-62.022. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is 円255.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Otsuka Holdings Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Otsuka Holdings Co was 13.80% per year. The lowest was 5.40% per year. And the median was 6.50% per year.

As of today (2026-08-13), Otsuka Holdings Co's current stock price is 円12435.00. Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was 円255.59. Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 48.65.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Otsuka Holdings Co was 49.71. The lowest was 22.16. And the median was 29.48.


Otsuka Holdings Co  (TSE:4578) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=12435.00/255.59
=48.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Otsuka Holdings Co was 49.71. The lowest was 22.16. And the median was 29.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Otsuka Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 166.27 176.07 197.28 228.62 259.75

Otsuka Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 249.26 258.03 259.75 266.27 255.59

TSE:4578 vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSE:4578
83GF Score
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd TSE:4578
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Otsuka Holdings Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=-62.022/113.6000*113.6000
=-62.022

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 113.6000.

Otsuka Holdings Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 61.234 98.000 70.981
201612 -50.081 98.400 -57.817
201703 19.947 98.100 23.099
201706 -0.129 98.500 -0.149
201709 16.215 98.800 18.644
201712 10.638 99.400 12.158
201803 27.704 99.200 31.726
201806 -5.396 99.200 -6.179
201809 68.251 99.900 77.611
201812 24.240 99.700 27.619
201903 55.049 99.700 62.724
201906 60.132 99.800 68.447
201909 137.074 100.100 155.561
201912 -13.949 100.500 -15.767
202003 77.873 100.300 88.199
202006 41.666 99.900 47.380
202009 85.943 99.900 97.729
202012 43.386 99.300 49.634
202103 104.565 99.900 118.905
202106 66.464 99.500 75.883
202109 101.338 100.100 115.005
202112 -59.020 100.100 -66.980
202203 78.600 101.100 88.318
202206 12.227 101.800 13.644
202209 66.913 103.100 73.728
202212 34.067 104.100 37.176
202303 91.974 104.400 100.079
202306 32.287 105.200 34.865
202309 91.110 106.200 97.459
202312 95.241 106.800 101.305
202403 -6.896 107.200 -7.308
202406 127.420 108.200 133.779
202409 223.112 108.900 232.741
202412 71.707 110.700 73.586
202503 142.365 111.100 145.569
202506 148.663 111.700 151.192
202509 141.494 112.000 143.515
202512 59.227 113.000 59.541
202603 143.201 112.700 144.345
202606 -62.022 113.600 -62.022

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円255.59 mean?
Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円255.59 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Otsuka Holdings Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円255.59. Overall, Otsuka Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to LLY and JNJ?
Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円255.59 can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors. Otsuka Holdings Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円255.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円9,063.61, compared to a current price of 円12,435.00 — trading 37.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円255.59. Otsuka Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円255.59 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円12,435.00 is trading 37.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円9,063.61. GuruFocus considers Otsuka Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4578:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: 円255.59
  • GF Value™: 円9,063.61 vs. price of 円12,435.00 (37.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4578 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Otsuka Holdings Co Business Description

Address 2-16-4 Konan, Shinagawa Grand Central Tower, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8241
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd is a Japan-based company that operates in pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, and consumer products. It operates through four reportable segments: Medical-related Business, Nutraceutical-related Business, Consumer-related Business, and Other Business. The Medical Business manufactures and sells therapeutic drugs and infusions, the Nutraceutical Business produces functional foods, beverages, and nutritional supplements, the Consumer Business offers mineral water, beverages, and foods, while the Other Business provides storage services and manufactures chemicals and analytical equipment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the medical-related business segment.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4578

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円12,435.00
Price
円9,063.61
GF Value