Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.60 (As of Aug. 20, 2026) — 93% Above Median

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TSE:4578 Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd TSE:4578
90 GF Score
Price 円12,600.00
GF Value 円9,104.48
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Otsuka Holdings Co TSE:4578 +4.52% 90 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.60 as of Aug. 20, 2026, which is 93% above its 10-year median of 1.87. GuruFocus rates TSE:4578 with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of 円9,104.48 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 750 Drug Manufacturers companies, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks worse than 66.93% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-20), Otsuka Holdings Co's current share price is 円12600.00. Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was 円3,497.59. Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 3.60.

The historical rank and industry rank for Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4578' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.35   Med: 1.87   Max: 3.63
Current: 3.44

During the past years, Otsuka Holdings Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 3.63. The lowest was 1.35. And the median was 1.87.

TSE:4578's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
66.93% of 750 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 2.045 vs TSE:4578: 3.44

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Otsuka Holdings Co's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was 円1,331.947. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is 円3,497.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Otsuka Holdings Co  (TSE:4578) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Otsuka Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.63 1.56 1.82 2.75 2.65

Otsuka Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.22 2.40 2.65 3.24 3.09

TSE:4578 vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


TSE:4578
90GF Score
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd TSE:4578
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Otsuka Holdings Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=12600.00/3497.59
=3.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Otsuka Holdings Co's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=1331.947/113.6000*113.6000
=1,331.947

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 113.6000.

Otsuka Holdings Co Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201609 558.140 98.000 646.987
201612 563.689 98.400 650.763
201703 517.065 98.100 598.762
201706 581.606 98.500 670.766
201709 597.274 98.800 686.744
201712 592.200 99.400 676.800
201803 543.721 99.200 622.648
201806 597.272 99.200 683.973
201809 608.475 99.900 691.920
201812 634.571 99.700 723.042
201903 579.328 99.700 660.097
201906 658.887 99.800 749.996
201909 659.497 100.100 748.440
201912 677.668 100.500 766.001
202003 626.183 100.300 709.216
202006 656.225 99.900 746.218
202009 685.027 99.900 778.970
202012 656.170 99.300 750.664
202103 620.999 99.900 706.161
202106 704.349 99.500 804.161
202109 716.449 100.100 813.073
202112 720.621 100.100 817.808
202203 701.169 101.100 787.862
202206 799.905 101.800 892.625
202209 832.627 103.100 917.424
202212 869.607 104.100 948.966
202303 826.238 104.400 899.048
202306 919.888 105.200 993.339
202309 979.467 106.200 1,047.716
202312 994.103 106.800 1,057.398
202403 957.374 107.200 1,014.531
202406 1,085.867 108.200 1,140.060
202409 1,145.027 108.900 1,194.445
202412 1,107.845 110.700 1,136.867
202503 1,087.343 111.100 1,111.811
202506 1,123.720 111.700 1,142.834
202509 1,201.997 112.000 1,219.168
202512 1,226.472 113.000 1,232.984
202603 1,194.117 112.700 1,203.653
202606 1,331.947 113.600 1,331.947

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.60 mean?
Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.60 as of Aug. 20, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors. This is 93% above median its historical median of 1.87. Over the past decade, Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.35 to 3.63. According to the industry distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #502 out of 750 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 66.9%.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Otsuka Holdings Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.60 is 93% above median its 10-year median of 1.87. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.35 to a high of 3.63. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.05. Otsuka Holdings Co's value of 3.60 is 76% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #502 out of 750 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Otsuka Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Otsuka Holdings Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Otsuka Holdings Co ranks #502 out of 750 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Otsuka Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.05. Otsuka Holdings Co's value of 3.60 is 76% above this benchmark. Historically, Otsuka Holdings Co's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.35 to 3.63 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.87 vs. the industry median of 2.05, Otsuka Holdings Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Drug Manufacturers companies is 2.05, based on 750 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Otsuka Holdings Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.60 is 76% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Otsuka Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.05 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Otsuka Holdings Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.60, which is 93% above median its own 10-year median of 1.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Otsuka Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円9,104.48, compared to a current price of 円12,600.00 — trading 38.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.60, which is 93% above median its 10-year median of 1.87 and 76% above the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 2.05. Otsuka Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.60 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Otsuka Holdings Co (TSE:4578) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Otsuka Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円12,600.00 is trading 38.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円9,104.48. GuruFocus considers Otsuka Holdings Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4578:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.60 (93% above median its 10-year median of 1.87)
  • GF Value™: 円9,104.48 vs. price of 円12,600.00 (38.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 76% above the Drug Manufacturers median (#502 of 750)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4578 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Otsuka Holdings Co Business Description

Address 2-16-4 Konan, Shinagawa Grand Central Tower, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 108-8241
Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd is a Japan-based company that operates in pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, and consumer products. It operates through four reportable segments: Medical-related Business, Nutraceutical-related Business, Consumer-related Business, and Other Business. The Medical Business manufactures and sells therapeutic drugs and infusions, the Nutraceutical Business produces functional foods, beverages, and nutritional supplements, the Consumer Business offers mineral water, beverages, and foods, while the Other Business provides storage services and manufactures chemicals and analytical equipment. It generates the majority of its revenue from the medical-related business segment.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4578

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円12,600.00
Price
円9,104.48
GF Value