FedEx (WBO:FDX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €7.24 (As of May. 2026)


WBO:FDX FedEx Corp WBO:FDX
74 GF Score
Price €269.50
GF Value €203.77
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

FedEx WBO:FDX -1.43% 74 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.24 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:FDX with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of €203.77 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

FedEx's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in May. 2026 was €6.332. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €7.24 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

During the past 12 months, FedEx's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -100.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 35.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of FedEx was 91.30% per year. The lowest was -17.10% per year. And the median was 11.00% per year.

As of today (2026-07-09), FedEx's current stock price is €269.50. FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was €7.24. FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 37.22.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of FedEx was 169.12. The lowest was 25.99. And the median was 61.58.


FedEx  (WBO:FDX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=269.50/7.24
=37.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of FedEx was 169.12. The lowest was 25.99. And the median was 61.58.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.23 3.51 4.22 5.04 5.69

FedEx Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.69 5.95 6.51 6.73 7.24

WBO:FDX vs UPS, JBHT, FDXF: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


WBO:FDX
74GF Score
FedEx Corp WBO:FDX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, FedEx's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=6.332/335.1230*335.1230
=6.332

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

FedEx Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201608 -0.809 240.849 -1.126
201611 0.680 241.353 0.944
201702 -3.808 243.603 -5.239
201705 3.214 244.733 4.401
201708 -1.414 245.519 -1.930
201711 -2.096 246.669 -2.848
201802 -5.071 248.991 -6.825
201805 5.732 251.588 7.635
201808 -1.539 252.146 -2.045
201811 0.076 252.038 0.101
201902 0.070 252.776 0.093
201905 1.901 256.092 2.488
201908 -2.927 256.558 -3.823
201911 -1.171 257.208 -1.526
202002 -0.823 258.678 -1.066
202005 2.296 256.394 3.001
202008 3.942 259.918 5.083
202011 3.702 260.229 4.767
202102 2.407 263.014 3.067
202105 3.222 269.195 4.011
202108 1.612 273.567 1.975
202111 1.389 277.948 1.675
202202 3.364 283.716 3.974
202205 4.068 292.296 4.664
202208 1.217 296.171 1.377
202211 -1.303 297.711 -1.467
202302 3.684 300.840 4.104
202305 6.156 304.127 6.783
202308 3.394 307.026 3.705
202311 1.713 307.051 1.870
202402 0.857 310.326 0.925
202405 5.580 314.069 5.954
202408 1.542 314.796 1.642
202411 1.930 315.493 2.050
202502 4.026 319.082 4.228
202505 3.866 321.465 4.030
202508 3.945 323.976 4.081
202511 4.376 324.122 4.525
202602 3.667 326.785 3.761
202605 6.332 335.123 6.332

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.24 mean?
FedEx (WBO:FDX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.24 as of May. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors.
Is FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
FedEx's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.24. Overall, FedEx has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to UPS and JBHT?
FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €7.24 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. FedEx's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is FedEx stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx (WBO:FDX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €203.77, compared to a current price of €269.50 — trading 32.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.24. FedEx's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For FedEx (WBO:FDX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €7.24 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is FedEx (WBO:FDX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €269.50 is trading 32.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €203.77. GuruFocus considers FedEx to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:FDX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €7.24
  • GF Value™: €203.77 vs. price of €269.50 (32.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:FDX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


FedEx Business Description

Address 942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. Following the June 2026 spinoff of FedEx Freight (less-than-truckload shipping), the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—makes up more than 95% of total revenue (previously 87%). The remainder stems from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:FDX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€269.50
Price
€203.77
GF Value