CTOBF (China Tobacco International (HK) Co) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF: (As of Sep. 20, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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CTOBF China Tobacco International (HK) Co Ltd CTOBF
88 GF Score
Price $2.05
GF Value $1.93
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


China Tobacco International (HK) Co  (OTCPK:CTOBF) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms


China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

China Tobacco International (HK) Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 29.29 26.97

China Tobacco International (HK) Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 29.29 29.29 26.97 26.62

CTOBF vs PM, MO, TPB: Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CTOBF
88GF Score
China Tobacco International (HK) Co Ltd CTOBF
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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China Tobacco International (HK) Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 is calculated as:

For example, China Tobacco International (HK) Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec25 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec25)
=0.223/120.7036*120.7036
=0.223

Current CPI (Dec25) = 120.7036.

China Tobacco International (HK) Co Annual Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201612 0.012 103.225 0.014
201712 0.073 104.984 0.084
201812 0.148 107.622 0.166
201912 0.079 110.700 0.086
202012 0.006 109.711 0.007
202112 0.006 112.349 0.006
202212 -0.072 114.548 -0.076
202312 0.107 117.296 0.110
202412 0.139 118.945 0.141
202512 0.223 120.704 0.223

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is China Tobacco International (HK) Co (CTOBF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tobacco International (HK) Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $2.05 is trading 6.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.93.

Key valuation signals for CTOBF:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF:
  • GF Value™: $1.93 vs. price of $2.05 (6.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CTOBF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Tobacco International (HK) Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 06055:Hong Kong
Address 18 Hung Luen Road, China Life Center, Room 1002, 10th Floor, Tower A, One Harbour Gate, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
China Tobacco International (HK) Co Ltd is engaged in the tobacco business. It operates through various segments namely the Tobacco Leaf Products Export Business, the Tobacco Leaf Product Import Business, the Cigarettes Export Business, the New Tobacco Product Export Business, and the Brazil Operation Business. The company's geographical segments are China (excluding the SARs), Indonesia, Korea, Hong Kong, Philippines, Vietnam, Brazil, Belgium, Poland, Paraguay, Egypt, and others, of which it derives maximum revenue from the PRC. It earns maximum revenue from the Tobacco Leaf Product Import Business.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CTOBF

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.05
Price
$1.93
GF Value