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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
The GF Value represents the intrinsic value of a stock, determined using GuruFocus' proprietary methodology. The GF Value Line on our stock Summary page provides an estimate of the stock’s fair-trading value.
To calculate this value, GuruFocus follows these steps:
We analyze historical correlations between the stock price and key business performance metrics, such as revenue, earnings, cash flow, and book value.
We identify the metrics that have the strongest historical correlation with the stock price and determine the historical multiples at which the stock has traded relative to these metrics.
Using these historical multiples as a reference, we estimate the stock's fair value while accounting for future business growth. Adjustments may be made based on the company’s past returns and growth trends.
GuruFocus believes that the GF Value Line represents the fair value at which a stock should trade. Stock prices typically fluctuate around this line. If a stock’s price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is considered overvalued, and its future returns are likely to be lower. Conversely, if the stock price is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future returns are likely to be higher.
(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our GF Valuation filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab, and Price-to-GF-Value filter under Valuation Ratio tab and set your own criteria.
(2) A sufficient margin of safety exists only when the stock is undervalued.
Possible Value Trap, Think Twice companies are those that appear significantly undervalued based on their Price-to-GF-Value ratio, but whose fundamentals show signs of weakness.
Indicators that a company may be a value trap include:
* Deteriorating Financial Health: A low Altman Z-scores indicates a higher risk of bankruptcy, or a low Piotroski F-Score. * Earnings Manipulation: A high Beneish M-score indicates potential earnings manipulation, raising concerns about the reliability of reported financials. * Stagnant or Declining Growth: Lack of revenue or earnings growth, or a recent slowdown, may signal limited future prospects.
Investors should conduct thorough due diligence, examining financial statements and growth indicators, to avoid falling into value traps.
China Tobacco International (HK) Co's Price-to-GF-Value for today is calculated as
Price-to-GF-Value
=
Share Price
/
GF Value
=
2.05
/
1.93
=
1.06
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Tobacco International (HK) Co GF Value Related Terms
China Tobacco International (HK) Co (CTOBF) has a GF Value of $1.93 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on China Tobacco International (HK) Co and its competitors.
Is China Tobacco International (HK) Co's GF Value too high?
China Tobacco International (HK) Co's current GF Value is $1.93. Overall, China Tobacco International (HK) Co has a GF Score™ of 88/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Tobacco International (HK) Co's GF Value compare to PM and MO?
China Tobacco International (HK) Co's GF Value of $1.93 can be compared against companies in the Tobacco Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value for a Tobacco Products company?
A good GF Value depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, GF Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value mean?
A high GF Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on China Tobacco International (HK) Co and its competitors. China Tobacco International (HK) Co's current GF Value is $1.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Tobacco International (HK) Co stock overvalued right now?
China Tobacco International (HK) Co (CTOBF) has a current GF Value of $1.93. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.93, compared to a current price of $2.05 — trading 6.2% above its estimated fair value. The current GF Value is $1.93. China Tobacco International (HK) Co's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value calculated?
GF Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Tobacco International (HK) Co (CTOBF), the current GF Value is $1.93 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is China Tobacco International (HK) Co (CTOBF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Tobacco International (HK) Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $2.05 is trading 6.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.93.
Key valuation signals for CTOBF:
GF Value: $1.93
GF Value™: $1.93 vs. price of $2.05 (6.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CTOBF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
China Tobacco International (HK) Co Ltd is engaged in the tobacco business. It operates through various segments namely the Tobacco Leaf Products Export Business, the Tobacco Leaf Product Import Business, the Cigarettes Export Business, the New Tobacco Product Export Business, and the Brazil Operation Business. The company's geographical segments are China (excluding the SARs), Indonesia, Korea, Hong Kong, Philippines, Vietnam, Brazil, Belgium, Poland, Paraguay, Egypt, and others, of which it derives maximum revenue from the PRC. It earns maximum revenue from the Tobacco Leaf Product Import Business.
88GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CTOBF
GF Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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