GEO (The GEO Group) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.35 (As of Aug. 04, 2026) — 82% Above Median

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GEO The GEO Group Inc GEO
58 GF Score
Price $31.34
GF Value $16.72
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

The GEO Group GEO +1.46% 58 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.35 as of Aug. 04, 2026, which is 82% above its 10-year median of 0.74. GuruFocus rates GEO with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of $16.72 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 718 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks worse than 61.56% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-04), The GEO Group's current share price is $31.34. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $23.17. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.35.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

GEO' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.74   Max: 2.04
Current: 1.35

During the past years, The GEO Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.04. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.74.

GEO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
61.56% of 718 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.91 vs GEO: 1.35

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The GEO Group's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $5.261. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $23.17 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The GEO Group  (NYSE:GEO) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.38 0.51 0.49 1.24 0.71

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.28 1.04 0.89 0.71 0.73

GEO vs BRC, BCO, ADT: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


GEO
58GF Score
The GEO Group Inc GEO
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=31.34/23.17
=1.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, The GEO Group's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=5.261/330.2130*330.2130
=5.261

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

The GEO Group Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 4.919 241.018 6.739
201609 4.972 241.428 6.800
201612 5.074 241.432 6.940
201703 4.810 243.801 6.515
201706 4.696 244.955 6.330
201709 4.612 246.819 6.170
201712 4.629 246.524 6.200
201803 4.619 249.554 6.112
201806 4.836 251.989 6.337
201809 4.851 252.439 6.346
201812 5.003 251.233 6.576
201903 5.110 254.202 6.638
201906 5.136 256.143 6.621
201909 5.295 256.759 6.810
201912 5.211 256.974 6.696
202003 5.045 258.115 6.454
202006 4.900 257.797 6.276
202009 4.825 260.280 6.121
202012 4.815 260.474 6.104
202103 4.787 264.877 5.968
202106 4.693 271.696 5.704
202109 4.610 274.310 5.549
202112 4.601 278.802 5.449
202203 4.540 287.504 5.214
202206 4.826 296.311 5.378
202209 5.037 296.808 5.604
202212 5.030 296.797 5.596
202303 4.860 301.836 5.317
202306 4.817 305.109 5.213
202309 4.883 307.789 5.239
202312 4.891 306.746 5.265
202403 4.624 312.332 4.889
202406 4.652 314.175 4.889
202409 4.366 315.301 4.572
202412 4.335 315.605 4.536
202503 4.291 319.799 4.431
202506 4.529 322.561 4.636
202509 4.874 324.800 4.955
202512 5.152 324.054 5.250
202603 5.261 330.213 5.261

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.35 mean?
The GEO Group (GEO) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.35 as of Aug. 04, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 82% above median its historical median of 0.74. Over the past decade, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.27 to 2.04. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #442 out of 718 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 61.6%.
Is The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.35 is 82% above median its 10-year median of 0.74. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.27 to a high of 2.04. The Business Services industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.91. The GEO Group's value of 1.35 is 48.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #442 out of 718 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to BRC and BCO?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #442 out of 718 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places The GEO Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.91. The GEO Group's value of 1.35 is 48.4% above this benchmark. Historically, The GEO Group's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.27 to 2.04 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.74 vs. the industry median of 0.91, The GEO Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Business Services company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Business Services companies is 0.91, based on 718 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.35 is 48.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.35, which is 82% above median its own 10-year median of 0.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (GEO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $16.72, compared to a current price of $31.34 — trading 87.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.35, which is 82% above median its 10-year median of 0.74 and 48.4% above the Business Services industry median of 0.91. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (GEO), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.35 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (GEO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $31.34 is trading 87.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $16.72. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for GEO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.35 (82% above median its 10-year median of 0.74)
  • GF Value™: $16.72 vs. price of $31.34 (87.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 48.4% above the Business Services median (#442 of 718)

No single metric tells the full story. See the GEO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO1:MexicoGEG:Germany
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GEO

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$31.34
Price
$16.72
GF Value