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The GEO GroupGEO +3.39%60 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 1.40% as of Jun. 2026, which is 87% below its 10-year median of 10.40. GuruFocus rates GEO with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $18.94 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 861 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks worse than 65.39% on this metric.
During the past 12 months, The GEO Group's average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 66.20% per year.
During the past 3 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 1.40% per year.
During the past 5 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 1.50% per year.
During the past 10 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 1.20% per year.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.
During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate of The GEO Group was 56.70% per year. The lowest was -11.20% per year. And the median was 10.40% per year.
The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Explanation
EBITDA per Share is the amount of Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) per outstanding share of the company's stock.
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is what the company earns before it expenses interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
The GEO Group 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Related Terms
GEO vs BRC, BCO, ADT: 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Comparison
For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The GEO Group 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate vs Business Services Industry
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate falls into.
The GEO Group 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Calculation
This is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per Share. The growth rate is calculated using exponential compounding based on the latest four year annual data.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.
What does a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 1.40% mean?
The GEO Group (GEO) has a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 1.40% as of Jun. 2026. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 87% below median its historical median of 10.40. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #563 out of 861 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 65.4%.
Is The GEO Group's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate too high?
The GEO Group's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 1.40% is 87% below median its 10-year median of 10.40. The Business Services industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.10. The GEO Group's value of 1.40% is 82.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #563 out of 861 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate compare to BRC and BCO?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #563 out of 861 companies for 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate. This places The GEO Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.10. The GEO Group's value of 1.40% is 82.7% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 10.40 vs. the industry median of 8.10, The GEO Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate for a Business Services company?
The median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate among Business Services companies is 8.10, based on 861 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 1.40% is 82.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate mean?
A high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.10 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 1.40%, which is 87% below median its own 10-year median of 10.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (GEO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $18.94, compared to a current price of $31.72 — trading 67.5% above its estimated fair value. The current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 1.40%, which is 87% below median its 10-year median of 10.40 and 82.7% below the Business Services industry median of 8.10. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate calculated?
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (GEO), the current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 1.40% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The GEO Group (GEO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $31.72 is trading 67.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $18.94.
GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for GEO:
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate: 1.40% (87% below median its 10-year median of 10.40)
GF Value™: $18.94 vs. price of $31.72 (67.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 82.7% below the Business Services median (#563 of 861)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GEO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
60GF Score
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