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Forward Air (Forward Air) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $4.15 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Forward Air Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Forward Air's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.570. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $4.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Forward Air's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Forward Air was 35.70% per year. The lowest was 4.10% per year. And the median was 9.70% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Forward Air's current stock price is $22.27. Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.15. Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 5.37.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Forward Air was 42.19. The lowest was 5.37. And the median was 29.95.


Forward Air Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forward Air Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Forward Air Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.51 2.62 2.87 3.68 4.15

Forward Air Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.68 3.93 4.17 4.22 4.15

Competitive Comparison of Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Forward Air Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Forward Air's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.57/129.4194*129.4194
=0.570

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Forward Air Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.015 99.695 0.019
201406 0.169 100.560 0.218
201409 0.718 100.428 0.925
201412 0.791 99.070 1.033
201503 0.072 99.621 0.094
201506 0.140 100.684 0.180
201509 1.038 100.392 1.338
201512 0.209 99.792 0.271
201603 1.135 100.470 1.462
201606 0.344 101.688 0.438
201609 0.683 101.861 0.868
201612 0.736 101.863 0.935
201703 1.143 102.862 1.438
201706 0.429 103.349 0.537
201709 0.561 104.136 0.697
201712 0.034 104.011 0.042
201803 1.173 105.290 1.442
201806 0.505 106.317 0.615
201809 1.035 106.507 1.258
201812 1.161 105.998 1.418
201903 1.307 107.251 1.577
201906 0.445 108.070 0.533
201909 1.582 108.329 1.890
201912 1.515 108.420 1.808
202003 0.949 108.902 1.128
202006 0.524 108.767 0.623
202009 0.540 109.815 0.636
202012 0.308 109.897 0.363
202103 0.266 111.754 0.308
202106 0.615 114.631 0.694
202109 1.056 115.734 1.181
202112 1.071 117.630 1.178
202203 1.940 121.301 2.070
202206 1.540 125.017 1.594
202209 2.872 125.227 2.968
202212 1.813 125.222 1.874
202303 2.236 127.348 2.272
202306 2.028 128.729 2.039
202309 0.932 129.860 0.929
202312 0.570 129.419 0.570

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Forward Air  (NAS:FWRD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=22.27/4.15
=5.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Forward Air was 42.19. The lowest was 5.37. And the median was 29.95.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Forward Air Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forward Air's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forward Air (Forward Air) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1915 Snapps Ferry Road, Building N, Greeneville, TN, USA, 37745
Forward Air Corp is an asset-light freight and logistics company. The company's operating segment includes Expedited Freight and Intermodal. It generates maximum revenue from the Expedited Freight segment. Expedited Freight segment operates a comprehensive national network to provide expedited regional, inter-regional and national LTL (less-than-truckload) services. It also offers customers local pick-up and delivery and other services including final mile, truckload, shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling.
Executives
Chris C Ruble officer: Sr. Vice President, Operations PO BOX 1058, GREENVILLIE TN 37744
Kyle R Mitchin officer: Senior VP, Human Resources 1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Nancee L Ronning officer: Chief Commercial Officer 1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Javier Polit director 1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Mayes George S Jr director 5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Craig Carlock director C/O THE FRESH MARKET, INC., 628 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 500, GREENSBORO NC 27408
George M Lynch director 2566 KENT RIDGE COURT, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48025
C Robert Campbell director 800 DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Michael L Hance officer: Senior VP, CLO and Secretary 430 AIRPORT ROAD, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Chitra Nayak director 1400 16TH STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Thomas Schmitt officer: President & CEO 1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745
Ronald W Allen director P O BOX 1734, ATLANTA GA 30301
Laurie Anne Tucker director 65 MARYS CREEK COVE NORTH, EADS TN 38028
Scott M Niswonger director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & Chairman 165 MADISON AVENUE, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Rebecca J Garbrick officer: CAO, VP and Controller 1915 SNAPPS FERRY ROAD, BUILDING N, GREENEVILLE TN 37745