FWRD (Forward Air) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FWRD Forward Air Corp FWRD
56 GF Score
Price $14.67
GF Value $32.72
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Forward Air Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Forward Air is: High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends.

Forward Air  (NAS:FWRD) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Forward Air Risk Assessment Related Terms

FWRD vs RLGT, CYRX, PAL: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Forward Air's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Forward Air Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Forward Air's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forward Air's Risk Assessment falls into.


FWRD
56GF Score
Forward Air Corp FWRD
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Forward Air (FWRD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Forward Air stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $14.67 is trading 55.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $32.72. GuruFocus considers Forward Air to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for FWRD:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $32.72 vs. price of $14.67 (55.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FWRD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Forward Air Business Description

Address 3200 Olympus Boulevard, Suite 300, Dallas, TX, USA, 75019
Forward Air Corp is an asset-light freight and logistics company. The company's operating segment includes Expedited Freight, Omni Logistics, and Intermodal and Corporate. The company generates maximum revenue from the Omni Logistics segment. The expedited Freight segment operates a comprehensive national network to provide expedited regional, inter-regional, and national LTL (less-than-truckload) services. It also offers customers local pick-up and delivery and other services including final mile, truckload, shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling. The Company conducts business in North and South America, Europe, and Asia.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FWRD

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$14.67
Price
$32.72
GF Value