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Vale (VALE) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 6.19 (As of Jun. 26, 2025)


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What is Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-26), Vale's current share price is $9.465. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $1.53. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 6.19.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VALE' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.34   Med: 15.18   Max: 29.55
Current: 5.82

During the past years, Vale's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 29.55. The lowest was 5.34. And the median was 15.18.

VALE's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
88.58% of 254 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 26.69 vs VALE: 5.82

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $0.097. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.53 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.75 13.89 13.46 10.12 6.59

Vale Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.74 8.00 8.04 6.59 6.53

Competitive Comparison of Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=9.465/1.53
=6.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Vale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=0.097/168.1016*168.1016
=0.097

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 168.1016.

Vale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 -0.216 100.006 -0.363
201509 -0.047 101.392 -0.078
201512 -0.217 104.247 -0.350
201603 -0.356 106.979 -0.559
201606 0.185 108.851 0.286
201609 0.243 109.986 0.371
201612 0.196 110.802 0.297
201703 0.352 111.869 0.529
201706 0.422 112.115 0.633
201709 0.285 112.777 0.425
201712 0.532 114.068 0.784
201803 0.247 114.868 0.361
201806 0.546 117.038 0.784
201809 0.728 117.881 1.038
201812 0.349 118.340 0.496
201903 0.307 120.124 0.430
201906 0.429 120.977 0.596
201909 0.616 121.292 0.854
201912 0.331 123.436 0.451
202003 0.109 124.092 0.148
202006 0.072 123.557 0.098
202009 0.763 125.095 1.025
202012 1.021 129.012 1.330
202103 1.177 131.660 1.503
202106 1.298 133.871 1.630
202109 1.544 137.913 1.882
202112 0.027 141.992 0.032
202203 0.306 146.537 0.351
202206 0.480 149.784 0.539
202209 0.476 147.800 0.541
202212 0.028 150.207 0.031
202303 0.559 153.352 0.613
202306 0.157 154.519 0.171
202309 0.325 155.464 0.351
202312 0.620 157.148 0.663
202403 0.508 159.372 0.536
202406 -0.027 161.052 -0.028
202409 0.063 162.342 0.065
202412 0.137 164.740 0.140
202503 0.097 168.102 0.097

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Vale  (NYSE:VALE) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vale Business Description

Industry
Address
Praia de Botafogo, 186, offices 1101, 1701 and 1801, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.