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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was HK$3.043. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is HK$8.39 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.
During the past 12 months, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s average E10 Growth Rate was 12.00% per year.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.
If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.
For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.
The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
During the past 12 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) was 23.42. The lowest was 16.95. And the median was 19.87.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Shiller PE Ratio vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.
What is E10? How do we calculate E10?
E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.
If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.
We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
For example, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:
ZTO Express (Cayman) (HKSE:02057) has a E10 of HK$8.39 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s E10 too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current E10 is HK$8.39. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s E10 compare to EXPD and CHRW?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s E10 of HK$8.39 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Transportation company?
A good E10 depends on the Transportation industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current E10 is HK$8.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (HKSE:02057) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$213.17, compared to a current price of HK$188.50 — trading 11.6% below its estimated fair value. The current E10 is HK$8.39. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (HKSE:02057), the current E10 is HK$8.39 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (HKSE:02057) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of HK$188.50 is trading 11.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$213.17.
GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for HKSE:02057:
E10: HK$8.39
GF Value™: HK$213.17 vs. price of HK$188.50 (11.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:02057 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
96GF Score
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