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FedEx (MIL:1FDX) E10 : €11.71 (As of Aug. 2024)


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What is FedEx E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

FedEx's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Aug. 2024 was €2.911. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €11.71 for the trailing ten years ended in Aug. 2024.

During the past 12 months, FedEx's average E10 Growth Rate was 7.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 13.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 14.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of FedEx was 22.10% per year. The lowest was 1.30% per year. And the median was 13.00% per year.

As of today (2024-09-23), FedEx's current stock price is €229.70. FedEx's E10 for the quarter that ended in Aug. 2024 was €11.71. FedEx's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 19.62.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of FedEx was 48.72. The lowest was 13.85. And the median was 28.35.


FedEx E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for FedEx's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FedEx E10 Chart

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 11.70

FedEx Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 10.92 11.50 11.70 11.71

Competitive Comparison of FedEx's E10

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



FedEx E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, FedEx's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Aug. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Aug. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Aug. 2024)
=2.911/132.8158*132.8158
=2.911

Current CPI (Aug. 2024) = 132.8158.

FedEx Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201411 1.853 99.635 2.470
201502 1.921 99.032 2.576
201505 -2.836 100.333 -3.754
201508 2.173 100.548 2.870
201511 2.274 100.135 3.016
201602 1.660 100.040 2.204
201605 -0.233 101.355 -0.305
201608 2.364 101.617 3.090
201611 2.401 101.829 3.132
201702 1.944 102.779 2.512
201705 3.394 103.256 4.366
201708 1.855 103.587 2.378
201711 2.420 104.072 3.088
201802 6.148 105.052 7.773
201805 3.511 106.148 4.393
201808 2.685 106.383 3.352
201811 3.089 106.338 3.858
201902 2.467 106.649 3.072
201905 -6.759 108.048 -8.308
201908 2.553 108.245 3.133
201911 1.928 108.519 2.360
202002 1.100 109.139 1.339
202005 -1.174 108.175 -1.441
202008 3.988 109.662 4.830
202011 3.849 109.793 4.656
202102 2.729 110.968 3.266
202105 5.662 113.576 6.621
202108 3.477 115.421 4.001
202111 3.399 117.269 3.850
202202 3.700 119.703 4.105
202205 2.015 123.323 2.170
202208 3.287 124.958 3.494
202211 3.012 125.607 3.185
202302 2.849 126.928 2.981
202305 5.566 128.314 5.761
202308 3.879 129.538 3.977
202311 3.280 129.548 3.363
202402 3.254 130.930 3.301
202405 5.494 132.509 5.507
202408 2.911 132.816 2.911

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


FedEx  (MIL:1FDX) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

FedEx's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=229.70/11.71
=19.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of FedEx was 48.72. The lowest was 13.85. And the median was 28.35.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


FedEx E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FedEx's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FedEx Business Description

Address
942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. In its fiscal 2023, which ended May 2023, FedEx derived 47% of revenue from its express division, 37% from ground, and 11% from freight, its asset-based less-than-truckload shipping segment. The remainder comes from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.

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