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PGR (Progressive) E10 : $6.01 (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Progressive E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was $3.970. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $6.01 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Progressive's average E10 Growth Rate was 25.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 17.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 13.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Progressive was 28.00% per year. The lowest was -0.80% per year. And the median was 11.50% per year.

As of today (2024-12-12), Progressive's current stock price is $242.76. Progressive's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was $6.01. Progressive's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 40.39.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Progressive was 45.80. The lowest was 15.26. And the median was 27.29.


Progressive E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive E10 Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.82 3.63 4.28 4.48 5.03

Progressive Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.78 5.03 5.45 5.66 6.01

Competitive Comparison of Progressive's E10

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Progressive E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Progressive's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=3.97/133.0289*133.0289
=3.970

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 133.0289.

Progressive Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201412 0.620 99.070 0.833
201503 0.500 99.621 0.668
201506 0.620 100.684 0.819
201509 0.470 100.392 0.623
201512 0.560 99.792 0.747
201603 0.440 100.470 0.583
201606 0.330 101.688 0.432
201609 0.340 101.861 0.444
201612 0.650 101.863 0.849
201703 0.730 102.862 0.944
201706 0.630 103.349 0.811
201709 0.380 104.136 0.485
201712 0.990 104.011 1.266
201803 1.220 105.290 1.541
201806 1.190 106.317 1.489
201809 1.570 106.507 1.961
201812 0.440 105.998 0.552
201903 1.830 107.251 2.270
201906 1.660 108.070 2.043
201909 1.420 108.329 1.744
201912 1.820 108.420 2.233
202003 1.170 108.902 1.429
202006 3.040 108.767 3.718
202009 2.590 109.815 3.138
202012 2.850 109.897 3.450
202103 2.510 111.754 2.988
202106 1.340 114.631 1.555
202109 0.190 115.734 0.218
202112 1.630 117.630 1.843
202203 0.520 121.301 0.570
202206 -0.940 125.017 -1.000
202209 0.200 125.227 0.212
202212 1.390 125.222 1.477
202303 0.750 127.348 0.783
202306 0.570 128.729 0.589
202309 1.890 129.860 1.936
202312 3.370 129.419 3.464
202403 3.940 131.776 3.977
202406 2.480 132.554 2.489
202409 3.970 133.029 3.970

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Progressive  (NYSE:PGR) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Progressive's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=242.76/6.01
=40.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Progressive was 45.80. The lowest was 15.26. And the median was 27.29.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Progressive E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Progressive's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Progressive Business Description

Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 20 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Executives
John P Sauerland officer: Direct Group, President PROGRESSIVE, 7580 NORTHCLIFF AVE. -- SUITE 1000, BROOKLYN OH 44144
Steven Broz officer: Chief Information Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Dyke Kahina Van director C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Patrick K Callahan officer: Personal Lines President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Susan Patricia Griffith officer: Chief Human Resource, Officer 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
John Jo Murphy officer: Claims President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Jonathan S. Bauer officer: Chief Investment Officer 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Andrew J Quigg officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Lori A Niederst officer: CRM President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Karen Bailo officer: Commercial Lines President 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Roger N Farah director POLO RALPH LAUREN CORP, 650 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip Bleser director 8760 CLAY ROAD SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77494
Mariann Wojtkun Marshall officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS RD., MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Devin C Johnson director 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Daniel P Mascaro officer: Vice Pres, Secretary and CLO C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143