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Lyra Therapeutics (Lyra Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-14.87 (As of Mar24)


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What is Lyra Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Lyra Therapeutics's earnings power value is $-14.87. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Lyra Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lyra Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Lyra Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -12.39

Lyra Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -11.69 -12.39 -14.87

Competitive Comparison of Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Lyra Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Lyra Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.75
DDA 0.52
Operating Margin % -12,284.56
SGA * 25% 3.50
Tax Rate % -0.03
Maintenance Capex 1.74
Cash and Cash Equivalents 87.12
Short-Term Debt 4.50
Long-Term Debt 33.36
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 64.01

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -12,284.56%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.75 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -12,284.56%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.50,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.75 * -12,284.56% +3.50 = $-88.341804202 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.03%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-88.341804202 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -88.341804202 * ( 1 - -0.03% ) = $-88.365214780114 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.52 * 0.5 * -0.03% = $-6.8794E-5 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -88.365214780114 + -6.8794E-5 = $-88.365283574114 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Lyra Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.74 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Lyra Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $87.12 Mil.
Lyra Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 33.36 + 4.50 = $37.86 Mil.
Lyra Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 64.01 Mil.

Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -88.365283574114 - 1.74)/ 9%+87.12-37.86 )/64.01
=-14.87

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -14.870337142421-0.3258 )/-14.870337142421
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Lyra Therapeutics  (NAS:LYRA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Lyra Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lyra Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lyra Therapeutics (Lyra Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
480 Arsenal Way, Watertown, MA, USA, 02472
Lyra Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage therapeutics company focused on the development and commercialization of novel integrated drug and delivery solutions for the localized treatment of patients with ear, nose, and throat diseases. The company's technology platform, XTreo, is designed to precisely and consistently deliver medicines directly to the affected tissue for sustained periods with a single administration. Its initial product candidates, LYR-210 and LYR-220, are bioresorbable polymeric matrices designed to be administered in a brief, non-invasive, in-office procedure and intended to deliver up to six months of continuous drug therapy to the sinonasal passages for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis, or CRS.
Executives
Harlan Waksal director, officer: Executive Chair WAKSAL CONSULTING LLC, 7 NORTH WILLOW STREET, SUITE 6, MONTCLAIR NJ 07042
Nbvm Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 950 WINTER STREET, SUITE 4600, WALTHAM MA 02451
Perceptive Life Sciences Master Fund Ltd 10 percent owner C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Edward T Anderson director, 10 percent owner 950 WINTER ST SUITE 4600, WATHAM MA 02451
John E Bishop officer: Chief Technology Officer 675 WEST KENDALL STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Richard Nieman officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O LYRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
C Ann Merrifield director
James R Tobin director C/O CURIS INC, 4 MAGUIRE ROAD, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Jason Cavalier officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O LYRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 1480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Snyderman Nancy Lynn Md director 37 PHEASANT HILL ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Pamela E. Nelson officer: Senior VP, Regulatory Affairs C/O LYRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 1480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Robert E. Richard officer: SVP of R&D C10 LYRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 1480 ALSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Soleus Private Equity Fund I, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O SOLEUS PRIVATE EQUITY GP I, LLC, 104 FIELD POINT ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Soleus Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 104 FIELD POINT ROAD, FLOOR 2, GREENWICH CT 06830
Polaris Venture Partners Special Founders' Fund V, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, 10TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02210