Dynapac Co (NGO:3947) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円867.39 (As of Mar26)


NGO:3947 Dynapac Co Ltd NGO:3947
59 GF Score
Price 円1,900.00
GF Value 円1,791.65
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Dynapac Co NGO:3947 59 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円867.39 as of Mar26. GuruFocus rates NGO:3947 with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,791.65. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar26, Dynapac Co's earnings power value is 円867.39. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -119.05

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Dynapac Co  (NGO:3947) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Dynapac Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -167.58 -224.88 -67.63 -269.61 105.45

Dynapac Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Dec25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -269.61 0.00 0.00 105.45 0.00

NGO:3947 vs SW, PKG, IP: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


NGO:3947
59GF Score
Dynapac Co Ltd NGO:3947
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Dynapac Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Dynapac Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 52,752
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 2.62
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 28.96
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,162
Short-Term Debt 7,582
Long-Term Debt 0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 10

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 2.62%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円52,752 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 2.62%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 52,752 * 2.62% +0 = 円1380.268947947 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 28.96%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円1380.268947947 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1380.268947947 * ( 1 - 28.96% ) = 円980.54306062155 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 28.96% = 円0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 980.54306062155 + 0 = 円980.54306062155 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Dynapac Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Dynapac Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円5,162 Mil.
Dynapac Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0 + 7,582 = 円7582.485 Mil.
Dynapac Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 10 Mil.

Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 980.54306062155 - 0)/ 9%+5,162-7582.485 )/10
=867.39

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 867.386478587-1900.00 )/867.386478587
= -119.05%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円867.39 mean?
Dynapac Co (NGO:3947) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円867.39 as of Mar26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Dynapac Co and its competitors.
Is Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Dynapac Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円867.39. Overall, Dynapac Co has a GF Score™ of 59/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to SW and PKG?
Dynapac Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円867.39 can be compared against companies in the Packaging & Containers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Dynapac Co and its competitors. Dynapac Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円867.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dynapac Co stock overvalued right now?
Dynapac Co (NGO:3947) has a current Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円867.39. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,791.65, compared to a current price of 円1,900.00 — trading 6% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円867.39. Dynapac Co's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dynapac Co (NGO:3947), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円867.39 as of Mar26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dynapac Co (NGO:3947) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dynapac Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,900.00 is trading 6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,791.65.

Key valuation signals for NGO:3947:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円867.39
  • GF Value™: 円1,791.65 vs. price of 円1,900.00 (6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:3947 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dynapac Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 3947:Japan
Address 14-15 Nishiki 3-chome, Naka-ku, Nagoya Kagome Building, Aichi-Ken, JPN, 460-0003
Dynapac Co Ltd engages in the sale of packaging materials, including corrugated boards, printed packages, and soft packages. The company offers corrugated fiberboards, corrugated fiberboard cushions, paper molds, logistics materials, corrugated plastic boards, paper containers, flexible packaging products, paper trays, paper cushioning bags, and functional corrugated boards. Its packaging products are used in the following fields: electronics, automobile parts, chemicals, processed food, vegetables, seafood, drinks, ceramics, glass, home delivery, furniture, building materials, and logistics. The Group has two reportable segments: packaging materials-related business and real estate rental business.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:3947

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,900.00
Price
円1,791.65
GF Value