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SOR (Source Capital) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.04 (As of Dec23)


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What is Source Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Source Capital's earnings power value is $0.04. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Source Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Source Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Source Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Source Capital Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Source Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Source Capital's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 32.01
DDA 0.00
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.19
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.35
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 8.25

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $32.01 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.19,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 32.01 * 0.00% +0.19 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.00 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Source Capital's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Source Capital's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.35 Mil.
Source Capital's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
Source Capital's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 8.25 Mil.

Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+0.35-0 )/8.25
=0.04

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.042656325739215-45.18 )/0.042656325739215
= -105816.3%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Source Capital  (NYSE:SOR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Source Capital Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Source Capital's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Source Capital Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
235 West Galena Street, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53212
Source Capital Inc is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The investment objective of the company is to seek maximum total return for Common shareholders from both capital appreciation and investment income to the extent consistent with the protection of invested capital.
Executives
Sandra Brown director 11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Korey Bauer officer: Vice President 2220 E. ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Rita Dam officer: Treasurer 2220 EAST ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Lyna Phan officer: Assistant Treasurer 2220 EAST ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Amy Centurioni officer: Assistant Secretary 2220 E. ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Max Banhazl officer: Vice President 2220 E. ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Diane J Drake officer: Secretary 2220 E. ROUTE 66, SUITE 226, GLENDORA CA 91740
Martin Dziura officer: Chief Compliance Officer 309 WOODRIDGE LANE, MEDIA PA 19063
John Zader director 11601 WISHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Maureen A Quill director 11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Mark L. Lipson director 100 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1200, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Brian A. Selmo other: Officer of inv co's inv adv 11400 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., STE. 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Ryan A. Leggio other: Officer of inv co's inv adv 11601 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Robert F Goldrich director LEON LEVY FOUNDATION, ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Thomas H Atteberry other: partner of inv co's inv adv 11400 W OLYMPIC BLVD, STE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064