As of today (2026-06-24), Athabasca Oil's share price is $7.075. Athabasca Oil's GF Value is $4.48. Therefore, Athabasca Oil's Price-to-GF-Value for today is 1.58. Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus believes Athabasca Oil is Significantly Overvalued.
The GF Value represents the intrinsic value of a stock, determined using GuruFocus' proprietary methodology. The GF Value Line on our stock Summary page provides an estimate of the stock’s fair-trading value.
To calculate this value, GuruFocus follows these steps:
We analyze historical correlations between the stock price and key business performance metrics, such as revenue, earnings, cash flow, and book value.
We identify the metrics that have the strongest historical correlation with the stock price and determine the historical multiples at which the stock has traded relative to these metrics.
Using these historical multiples as a reference, we estimate the stock's fair value while accounting for future business growth. Adjustments may be made based on the company’s past returns and growth trends.
GuruFocus believes that the GF Value Line represents the fair value at which a stock should trade. Stock prices typically fluctuate around this line. If a stock’s price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is considered overvalued, and its future returns are likely to be lower. Conversely, if the stock price is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future returns are likely to be higher.
Athabasca Oil (OTCPK:ATHOF) GF Value Explanation
Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus provides the following 6 ratings:
(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our GF Valuation filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab, and Price-to-GF-Value filter under Valuation Ratio tab and set your own criteria.
(2) A sufficient margin of safety exists only when the stock is undervalued.
Possible Value Trap, Think Twice companies are those that appear significantly undervalued based on their Price-to-GF-Value ratio, but whose fundamentals show signs of weakness.
Indicators that a company may be a value trap include:
* Deteriorating Financial Health: A low Altman Z-scores indicates a higher risk of bankruptcy, or a low Piotroski F-Score. * Earnings Manipulation: A high Beneish M-score indicates potential earnings manipulation, raising concerns about the reliability of reported financials. * Stagnant or Declining Growth: Lack of revenue or earnings growth, or a recent slowdown, may signal limited future prospects.
Investors should conduct thorough due diligence, examining financial statements and growth indicators, to avoid falling into value traps.
Athabasca Oil's Price-to-GF-Value for today is calculated as
Price-to-GF-Value
=
Share Price
/
GF Value
=
7.075
/
4.48
=
1.58
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) has a GF Value of $4.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Athabasca Oil and its competitors.
Is Athabasca Oil's GF Value too high?
Athabasca Oil's current GF Value is $4.48. Overall, Athabasca Oil has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Athabasca Oil's GF Value compare to COP and EOG?
Athabasca Oil's GF Value of $4.48 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value for an Oil & Gas company?
A good GF Value depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, GF Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value mean?
A high GF Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Athabasca Oil and its competitors. Athabasca Oil's current GF Value is $4.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Athabasca Oil stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.48, compared to a current price of $7.08 — trading 57.9% above its estimated fair value. The current GF Value is $4.48. Athabasca Oil's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value calculated?
GF Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Athabasca Oil (ATHOF), the current GF Value is $4.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Athabasca Oil stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $7.08 is trading 57.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $4.48.
GuruFocus considers Athabasca Oil to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ATHOF:
GF Value: $4.48
GF Value™: $4.48 vs. price of $7.08 (57.9% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ATHOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Athabasca Oil Corp is an exploration and production company developing Thermal Oil and Light Oil resources in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin located in Alberta, Canada. It operates through two segments: Athabasca (Thermal Oil), focused on bitumen production from oil sands in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta, and Duvernay Energy, focused on the production of light and medium crude oil, tight oil, natural gas, shale gas, and natural gas liquids in the Greater Kaybob area near Fox Creek, Alberta. The majority of its revenue is derived from petroleum, natural gas, and midstream sales through the Athabasca segment.
70GF Score
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