ATHOF (Athabasca Oil) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $9.93 (As of Jul. 04, 2026) — 1096% Above Median


ATHOF Athabasca Oil Corp ATHOF
70 GF Score
Price $7.18
GF Value $4.55
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Athabasca Oil Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Athabasca Oil ATHOF +0.42% 70 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $9.93 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 1096% above its 10-year median of 0.83. GuruFocus rates ATHOF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $4.55 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 264 Oil & Gas companies, Athabasca Oil ranks better than 62.88% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Athabasca Oil's PEG is 1. Athabasca Oil's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Athabasca Oil's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.40. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $9.93.

As of today (2026-07-04), Athabasca Oil's share price is $7.18. Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch fair value is $9.93. Therefore, Athabasca Oil's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.72.


The historical rank and industry rank for Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

ATHOF' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75   Med: 0.83   Max: 0.83
Current: 0.75


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Athabasca Oil was 0.83. The lowest was 0.75. And the median was 0.83.


ATHOF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
62.88% of 264 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 1.025 vs ATHOF: 0.75

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Athabasca Oil  (OTCPK:ATHOF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Athabasca Oil's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=7.18/9.93
=0.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Athabasca Oil Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Athabasca Oil Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Athabasca Oil Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Athabasca Oil Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Athabasca Oil Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.75

ATHOF vs COP, EOG, FANG: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Athabasca Oil's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Athabasca Oil Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Athabasca Oil's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Athabasca Oil's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


ATHOF
70GF Score
Athabasca Oil Corp ATHOF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Athabasca Oil Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *0.397
=9.93

Athabasca Oil's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $0.40.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $9.93 mean?
Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $9.93 as of Jul. 04, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Athabasca Oil and its competitors. This is 1096% above median its historical median of 0.83. Over the past decade, Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.75 to 0.83. According to the industry distribution chart, Athabasca Oil ranks #98 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 37.1%.
Is Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Athabasca Oil's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $9.93 is 1096% above median its 10-year median of 0.83. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.75 to a high of 0.83. The Oil & Gas industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.03. Athabasca Oil's value of $9.93 is 868.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Athabasca Oil ranks #98 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Athabasca Oil has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Athabasca Oil's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Athabasca Oil ranks #98 out of 264 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts Athabasca Oil in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.03. Athabasca Oil's value of $9.93 is 868.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Athabasca Oil's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.75 to 0.83 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.83 vs. the industry median of 1.03, Athabasca Oil has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Oil & Gas companies is 1.03, based on 264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Athabasca Oil's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $9.93 is 868.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Athabasca Oil and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.03 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Athabasca Oil's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $9.93, which is 1096% above median its own 10-year median of 0.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Athabasca Oil stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.55, compared to a current price of $7.18 — trading 57.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $9.93, which is 1096% above median its 10-year median of 0.83 and 868.8% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 1.03. Athabasca Oil's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Athabasca Oil (ATHOF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $9.93 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Athabasca Oil (ATHOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Athabasca Oil stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $7.18 is trading 57.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $4.55. GuruFocus considers Athabasca Oil to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ATHOF:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $9.93 (1096% above median its 10-year median of 0.83)
  • GF Value™: $4.55 vs. price of $7.18 (57.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 868.8% above the Oil & Gas median (#98 of 264)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ATHOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Athabasca Oil Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges ATI:GermanyATH:Canada
Address 215 - 9 Avenue SW, Suite 1200, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1K3
Athabasca Oil Corp is an exploration and production company developing Thermal Oil and Light Oil resources in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin located in Alberta, Canada. It operates through two segments: Athabasca (Thermal Oil), focused on bitumen production from oil sands in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta, and Duvernay Energy, focused on the production of light and medium crude oil, tight oil, natural gas, shale gas, and natural gas liquids in the Greater Kaybob area near Fox Creek, Alberta. The majority of its revenue is derived from petroleum, natural gas, and midstream sales through the Athabasca segment.
70GF Score

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Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.18
Price
$4.55
GF Value