Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (CHIX:STGC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): kr150.20 (As of Jul. 22, 2026) — 33278% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:STGC Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS CHIX:STGC
64 GF Score
Price kr66.80
GF Value kr106.62
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS CHIX:STGC 64 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is kr150.20 as of Jul. 22, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.45. GuruFocus rates CHIX:STGC with a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 64/100 and a GF Valueâ„¢ of kr106.62. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 9 Tobacco Products companies, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS ranks better than 88.89% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-22), Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is kr150.20.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS is 55.53%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:STGc' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 0.45   Max: 0.63
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS was 0.63. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 0.45.

CHIX:STGc's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
88.89% of 9 companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs CHIX:STGc: 0.44

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS  (CHIX:STGc) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 230.70 146.94

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 197.39 187.17 146.94 150.42

CHIX:STGC vs PM, MO, TPB: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


CHIX:STGC
64GF Score
Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS CHIX:STGC
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.81%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 7.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 7.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 7.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = kr9.3528.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.075)/(1+0.09) = 0.98623853211009
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=9.3528*16.0593
=150.20

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (150.2 - 66.80) / 150.2
= 55.53 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of kr150.20 mean?
Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (CHIX:STGC) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of kr150.20 as of Jul. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS and its competitors. This is 33278% above median its historical median of 0.45. Over the past decade, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.42 to 0.63. According to the industry distribution chart, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS ranks #1 out of 9 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 11.1%.
Is Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of kr150.20 is 33278% above median its 10-year median of 0.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.42 to a high of 0.63. Based on the distribution chart, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS ranks #1 out of 9 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS has a GF Score™ of 64/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS ranks #1 out of 9 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.95. Historically, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.42 to 0.63 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Tobacco Products companies is 0.95, based on 9 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is kr150.20, which is 33278% above median its own 10-year median of 0.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS stock overvalued right now?
Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (CHIX:STGC) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of kr150.20. The stock's GF Value™ is kr106.62, compared to a current price of kr66.80 — trading 37.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is kr150.20, which is 33278% above median its 10-year median of 0.45. Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (CHIX:STGC), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is kr150.20 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS (CHIX:STGC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr66.80 is trading 37.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr106.62.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:STGC:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): kr150.20 (33278% above median its 10-year median of 0.45)
  • GF Value™: kr106.62 vs. price of kr66.80 (37.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:STGC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS Business Description

Address Sandtoften 9, Gentofte, DNK, 2820
Scandinavian Tobacco Group AS offers cigars, pipe tobacco, and accessories in North America, Europe, and Australia. It operates in three segments: North America online and retail, which includes direct to consumer sales of all product categories sold via the online, catalogue and retail channel in North America. North America branded and the Rest of the World, which provides its products to wholesalers and distributors; Europe Branded comprises sale of all product categories to wholesalers, distributors and direct to retail in Germany, Denmark, Sweden, France, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Spain, Portugal, the UK, and Ireland.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:STGC

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr66.80
Price
kr106.62
GF Value