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The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is The First Marblehead Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-28), The First Marblehead's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

The First Marblehead's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for The First Marblehead is

The historical rank and industry rank for The First Marblehead's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FMD's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Credit Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.68
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

The First Marblehead Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The First Marblehead's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The First Marblehead Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

The First Marblehead Annual Data
Trend Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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The First Marblehead Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of The First Marblehead's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Credit Services subindustry, The First Marblehead's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The First Marblehead's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, The First Marblehead's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The First Marblehead's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



The First Marblehead Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

The First Marblehead's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 5.05) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The First Marblehead  (NYSE:FMD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The First Marblehead Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The First Marblehead's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
The First Marblehead Corp was formed as a limited partnership in 1991 and was incorporated in Delaware in August 1994. It is a specialty finance company focused on the education financing marketplace in the United States. It provides loan programs on behalf of its lender clients for K-12, undergraduate and graduate students and for college graduates seeking to refinance private education loan obligations, as well as tuition planning, tuition billing, refund management and payment technology services. It provides a fully integrated suite of services through its Monogram loan product service platform, which it refer to as its Monogram platform, as well as certain services on a stand-alone, fee-for-service basis. These loan programs are designed to be marketed to prospective student borrowers and their families directly or through educational institutions and to generate portfolios which might be held by the originating lender or financed in the capital markets. It offers a fully integrated suite of services, including its new Monogram loan product, as well as certain services on a standalone, fee-for-service basis. In addition, it provides administrative and other services to securitization trusts that it has facilitated and asset servicing to the third-party owner of certain securitization trusts. The Company's bank subsidiary, Union Federal Savings Bank is a federally chartered thrift that offers residential and commercial mortgage loans, and certain other banking products. Through its Monogram product offering, it enables lenders to offer borrowers private education loans with competitive terms and clear pricing alternatives, but which are also structured to align product options made available to qualified applicants with their credit risk. The Monogram product integrates all of its service offerings, including program design, marketing support, loan origination and portfolio management. The product enables its lender clients to customize their loan programs to meet their risk control and return objectives without a third-party guaranty. Specifically, the client could customize the range of loan terms offered to their qualified applicants, such as repayment options, loan limits and borrower pricing. The Monogram product is based on its proprietary origination risk score model, which was independently reviewed by a credit bureau. It helps clients design their private education loan programs. The Company's design approach begins with a standard set of pricing options, legal agreements and third-party relationships that it could then customize for its clients in order to satisfy their particular needs. The Company's systems have been designed to provide applicants with consumer protection disclosures required by law and regulation, as well as information helpful for making informed decisions about private education loans. It operates in a competitive environment.FIRSTMARBLEHEAD, the checkered logo, MONOGRAM, MONTICELLO STUDENT LOA
Executives
William Dean Hansen director
John Carter Risley 10 percent owner 757 BEDFORD HIGHWAY, BEDFORD A5 B4A3Z7
Peter S Drotch director
Second Curve Capital Llc 10 percent owner 150 N RADNOR CHESTER ROAD, SUITE F120, RADNOR PA 19087
Thomas K Brown 10 percent owner C/O SECOND CURVE CAPITAL, LLC, 237 PARK AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Cameron Dort A Iii director
George G Daly director C/O STERN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS NYU, 44 WEST 4TH ST SUITE 8-69, NEW YORK NY 10012
William R Berkley director 165 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Michael Joseph Plunkett officer: Managing Director C/O ALPHATEC HOLDINGS, INC., 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Ryan Randall Brenneman officer: Managing Director C/O EYEGATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 271 WAVERLEY OAKS ROAD, SUITE 108, WALTHAM MA 02452
Henry Cornell director 1099 18TH STREET, SUITE 2300, DENVER CO 80202
Jack L Kopnisky director, officer: CEO, President and COO C/O STERLING NATIONAL BANK, 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901

The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Headlines

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First Marblehead: Attractive Opportunity

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