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The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Altman Z2-Score : -1.98 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is The First Marblehead Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

The First Marblehead has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.98, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


The First Marblehead Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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The First Marblehead Altman Z2-Score Chart

The First Marblehead Annual Data
Trend Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15
Altman Z2-Score
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The First Marblehead Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
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Competitive Comparison of The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score

For the Credit Services subindustry, The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



The First Marblehead Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

The First Marblehead's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.207+3.26*-1.0042+6.72*-0.1406+1.05*0.8423
=-1.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2016:
Total Assets was $191.65 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $143.69 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $104.03 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-192.45 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -5.022 + -4.562 + -5.821 + -11.538 = $-26.94 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $104.03 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(143.692 - 104.025)/191.648
=0.207

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-192.447/191.648
=-1.0042

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-26.943 - 0)/191.648
=-0.1406

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(87.623 - 0)/104.025
=0.8423

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

The First Marblehead has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.98 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


The First Marblehead  (NYSE:FMD) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The First Marblehead Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
The First Marblehead Corp was formed as a limited partnership in 1991 and was incorporated in Delaware in August 1994. It is a specialty finance company focused on the education financing marketplace in the United States. It provides loan programs on behalf of its lender clients for K-12, undergraduate and graduate students and for college graduates seeking to refinance private education loan obligations, as well as tuition planning, tuition billing, refund management and payment technology services. It provides a fully integrated suite of services through its Monogram loan product service platform, which it refer to as its Monogram platform, as well as certain services on a stand-alone, fee-for-service basis. These loan programs are designed to be marketed to prospective student borrowers and their families directly or through educational institutions and to generate portfolios which might be held by the originating lender or financed in the capital markets. It offers a fully integrated suite of services, including its new Monogram loan product, as well as certain services on a standalone, fee-for-service basis. In addition, it provides administrative and other services to securitization trusts that it has facilitated and asset servicing to the third-party owner of certain securitization trusts. The Company's bank subsidiary, Union Federal Savings Bank is a federally chartered thrift that offers residential and commercial mortgage loans, and certain other banking products. Through its Monogram product offering, it enables lenders to offer borrowers private education loans with competitive terms and clear pricing alternatives, but which are also structured to align product options made available to qualified applicants with their credit risk. The Monogram product integrates all of its service offerings, including program design, marketing support, loan origination and portfolio management. The product enables its lender clients to customize their loan programs to meet their risk control and return objectives without a third-party guaranty. Specifically, the client could customize the range of loan terms offered to their qualified applicants, such as repayment options, loan limits and borrower pricing. The Monogram product is based on its proprietary origination risk score model, which was independently reviewed by a credit bureau. It helps clients design their private education loan programs. The Company's design approach begins with a standard set of pricing options, legal agreements and third-party relationships that it could then customize for its clients in order to satisfy their particular needs. The Company's systems have been designed to provide applicants with consumer protection disclosures required by law and regulation, as well as information helpful for making informed decisions about private education loans. It operates in a competitive environment.FIRSTMARBLEHEAD, the checkered logo, MONOGRAM, MONTICELLO STUDENT LOA
Executives
William Dean Hansen director
John Carter Risley 10 percent owner 757 BEDFORD HIGHWAY, BEDFORD A5 B4A3Z7
Peter S Drotch director
Second Curve Capital Llc 10 percent owner 150 N RADNOR CHESTER ROAD, SUITE F120, RADNOR PA 19087
Thomas K Brown 10 percent owner C/O SECOND CURVE CAPITAL, LLC, 237 PARK AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Cameron Dort A Iii director
George G Daly director C/O STERN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS NYU, 44 WEST 4TH ST SUITE 8-69, NEW YORK NY 10012
William R Berkley director 165 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Michael Joseph Plunkett officer: Managing Director C/O ALPHATEC HOLDINGS, INC., 5818 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Ryan Randall Brenneman officer: Managing Director C/O EYEGATE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 271 WAVERLEY OAKS ROAD, SUITE 108, WALTHAM MA 02452
Henry Cornell director 1099 18TH STREET, SUITE 2300, DENVER CO 80202
Jack L Kopnisky director, officer: CEO, President and COO C/O STERLING NATIONAL BANK, 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901

The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Headlines

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