What is The First Marblehead Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. The First Marblehead's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FMD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Credit Services industry.
Industry Median: 5.545 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
The First Marblehead Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
The First Marblehead Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Credit Services subindustry, The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Credit Services Industry
For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
The First Marblehead Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The First Marblehead (NYSE:FMD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
The First Marblehead Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The First Marblehead's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
The First Marblehead (The First Marblehead) Business Description
The First Marblehead Corp was formed as a limited partnership in 1991 and was incorporated in Delaware in August 1994. It is a specialty finance company focused on the education financing marketplace in the United States. It provides loan programs on behalf of its lender clients for K-12, undergraduate and graduate students and for college graduates seeking to refinance private education loan obligations, as well as tuition planning, tuition billing, refund management and payment technology services. It provides a fully integrated suite of services through its Monogram loan product service platform, which it refer to as its Monogram platform, as well as certain services on a stand-alone, fee-for-service basis. These loan programs are designed to be marketed to prospective student borrowers and their families directly or through educational institutions and to generate portfolios which might be held by the originating lender or financed in the capital markets. It offers a fully integrated suite of services, including its new Monogram loan product, as well as certain services on a standalone, fee-for-service basis. In addition, it provides administrative and other services to securitization trusts that it has facilitated and asset servicing to the third-party owner of certain securitization trusts. The Company's bank subsidiary, Union Federal Savings Bank is a federally chartered thrift that offers residential and commercial mortgage loans, and certain other banking products. Through its Monogram product offering, it enables lenders to offer borrowers private education loans with competitive terms and clear pricing alternatives, but which are also structured to align product options made available to qualified applicants with their credit risk. The Monogram product integrates all of its service offerings, including program design, marketing support, loan origination and portfolio management. The product enables its lender clients to customize their loan programs to meet their risk control and return objectives without a third-party guaranty. Specifically, the client could customize the range of loan terms offered to their qualified applicants, such as repayment options, loan limits and borrower pricing. The Monogram product is based on its proprietary origination risk score model, which was independently reviewed by a credit bureau. It helps clients design their private education loan programs. The Company's design approach begins with a standard set of pricing options, legal agreements and third-party relationships that it could then customize for its clients in order to satisfy their particular needs. The Company's systems have been designed to provide applicants with consumer protection disclosures required by law and regulation, as well as information helpful for making informed decisions about private education loans. It operates in a competitive environment.FIRSTMARBLEHEAD, the checkered logo, MONOGRAM, MONTICELLO STUDENT LOA
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