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Winthrop Realty Trust (Winthrop Realty Trust) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $-1.35 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Winthrop Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-25), Winthrop Realty Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $-1.35.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Winthrop Realty Trust's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Winthrop Realty Trust is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Winthrop Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FUR's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.98
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Winthrop Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Winthrop Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Winthrop Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Winthrop Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Winthrop Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Winthrop Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Winthrop Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Winthrop Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Winthrop Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Winthrop Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Winthrop Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Winthrop Realty Trust's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $-0.117.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Winthrop Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.117*11.5406
=-1.35

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (-1.35 - 9.33) / -1.35
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Winthrop Realty Trust  (NYSE:FUR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Winthrop Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Winthrop Realty Trust (Winthrop Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Winthrop Realty Trust Inc (NYSE:FUR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Winthrop Realty Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust (REIT), is an unincorporated association in the form of a business trust organized in Ohio under a Declaration of Trust dated August 1, 1961. The Company conducts its business through its wholly owned operating partnership, WRT Realty L.P., a Delaware limited partnership. The Company is engaged in the business of owning real property and real estate related assets which it categorize into three reportable segments: (i) the ownership of investment properties including wholly owned properties and investments in joint ventures which own investment properties, which it refer to as operating properties; (ii) the origination and acquisition of senior loans, mezzanine loans and debt securities collateralized directly or indirectly by commercial and multi-family real property, which it refer to as loan assets; and (iii) the ownership of equity and debt interests in other real estate investment trusts (REITs), which it refer to as REIT securities. Its primary sources of income are rental income and tenant recoveries from leases of its operating properties, interest income and discount accretion from its loan assets, and interest and dividend income and appreciation from its investments in REIT securities. The Company competes with many other companies, including other REITs, insurance companies, commercial banks, private investment funds, hedge funds, specialty finance companies and other investors. Its operations and properties are subject to various federal, state and local laws.
Executives
Michael L Ashner director, officer: Chairman & CEO C/O WINTHROP FINANCIAL ASSOCIATES, TWO JERICHO PLAZA WING A, JERICHO NY 11753
Carolyn Tiffany director, officer: President C/O WINTHROP FINANICAL ASSOCIATES, 7 BULFINCH PLACE, SUITE 500, BOSTON MA 02114
Howard Goldberg director
King Street Capital Mgmt Llc 10 percent owner 299 PARK AVENUE, 40TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10171
Brian J Higgins 10 percent owner 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Biondi O Francis Jr 10 percent owner 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Talton R Embry director C/O MAGTEN ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP, 410 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bruce R Berkowitz director C/O FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C., 4400 BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, 9TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
William A Ackman other: Former 10% Owner 787 - 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gotham Partners Lp /ny/ other: Former 10% owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Section H Partners L P other: Fomer 10% Owner 110 EAST 42ND STREET 18TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
David P Berkowitz other: Former 10% Owner 110 EAST 42ND STREET 18TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Gotham Parners Iii L P other: Former 10% Owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Gotham International Advisors Llc other: Former 10% Owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Karenina Corp other: Former 10% Owner 110 EAST 42ND STREET 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

Winthrop Realty Trust (Winthrop Realty Trust) Headlines