What is Winthrop Realty Trust Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
Predictables
Non-Predictable
All stocks
Total Number of stocks
570
1833
2403
Total Lost Money
61
830
891
Total Lost More Than 50%
18
412
430
Total Lost More Than 90%
4
86
90
Average Gain
260.6%
100.0%
138.1%
Median Gain
150.0%
13.0%
39.0%
Maximum Gain
2852.0%
11483.0%
11483.0%
Maximum Loss
-100.0%
-100.0%
-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain
12.7%
6.7%
8.4%
Annualized Median Gain
8.9%
1.1%
3.1%
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
Winthrop Realty Trust Predictability Rank Related Terms
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Winthrop Realty Trust (Winthrop Realty Trust) Business Description
Winthrop Realty Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust (REIT), is an unincorporated association in the form of a business trust organized in Ohio under a Declaration of Trust dated August 1, 1961. The Company conducts its business through its wholly owned operating partnership, WRT Realty L.P., a Delaware limited partnership. The Company is engaged in the business of owning real property and real estate related assets which it categorize into three reportable segments: (i) the ownership of investment properties including wholly owned properties and investments in joint ventures which own investment properties, which it refer to as operating properties; (ii) the origination and acquisition of senior loans, mezzanine loans and debt securities collateralized directly or indirectly by commercial and multi-family real property, which it refer to as loan assets; and (iii) the ownership of equity and debt interests in other real estate investment trusts (REITs), which it refer to as REIT securities. Its primary sources of income are rental income and tenant recoveries from leases of its operating properties, interest income and discount accretion from its loan assets, and interest and dividend income and appreciation from its investments in REIT securities. The Company competes with many other companies, including other REITs, insurance companies, commercial banks, private investment funds, hedge funds, specialty finance companies and other investors. Its operations and properties are subject to various federal, state and local laws.
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