SETUF (Shin-Etsu Polymer Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $28.32 (As of Sep. 03, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SETUF Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Ltd SETUF
90 GF Score
Price $9.76
GF Value $7.73
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co SETUF -1.05% 90 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $28.32 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates SETUF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.73. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 215 Chemicals companies, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co ranks better than 88.37% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-03), Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $28.32.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Shin-Etsu Polymer Co is 65.54%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SETUF' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 0.44   Max: 0.85
Current: 0.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Shin-Etsu Polymer Co was 0.85. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 0.44.

SETUF's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
88.37% of 215 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.23 vs SETUF: 0.34

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co  (OTCPK:SETUF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.76 8.14 8.42 28.67 21.75

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.67 26.80 24.32 21.20 21.75

SETUF vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


SETUF
90GF Score
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Ltd SETUF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 21.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.7452.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.09) = 1.1009174311927
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.7452*38.009
=28.32

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (28.32 - 9.76) / 28.32
= 65.54 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $28.32 mean?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $28.32 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Shin-Etsu Polymer Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co ranks #25 out of 215 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 11.6%.
Is Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $28.32. The Chemicals industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.23. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's value of $28.32 is 2202.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co ranks #25 out of 215 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co has a GF Score™ of 90/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co ranks #25 out of 215 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Shin-Etsu Polymer Co in the top 12% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.23. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's value of $28.32 is 2202.4% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Chemicals company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Chemicals companies is 1.23, based on 215 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $28.32 is 2202.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Shin-Etsu Polymer Co and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $28.32. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shin-Etsu Polymer Co stock overvalued right now?
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $28.32. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.73, compared to a current price of $9.76 — trading 26.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $28.32 and 2202.4% above the Chemicals industry median of 1.23. Shin-Etsu Polymer Co's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $28.32 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shin-Etsu Polymer Co (SETUF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shin-Etsu Polymer Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $9.76 is trading 26.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $7.73.

Key valuation signals for SETUF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $28.32
  • GF Value™: $7.73 vs. price of $9.76 (26.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 2202.4% above the Chemicals median (#25 of 215)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SETUF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 7970:Japan
Address Sotetsu Kandasudacho Building, 1-9 Kanda-Sudacho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0041
Shin-Etsu Polymer Co Ltd manufactures polyvinyl and rubber products. The company develops applications for using the silicone and various plastics involving materials and compounding, design, molding processes, and evaluation and analysis and meets the needs of customers engaged in the field from automobiles and information devices to semiconductors and construction materials. Shin-Etsu sells its products mainly to the electronic devices industry, housing and living materials industry, precision molding products industry and others but majority of the revenues are derived from precision molding products which includes shipping and carrying containers for semiconductor silicon wafers, materials for automatic mounting of electronic components, office automation device components.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SETUF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.76
Price
$7.73
GF Value