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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Longchen Paper & Packaging Co was 23.65. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.72.
TPE:1909's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Forest Products industry.
Industry Median: 0.965 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.
What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:
1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Competitor Comparison
For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Forest Products Industry
For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.71%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = NT$. GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.
All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of NT$ mean?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of NT$ as of Aug. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. Over the past decade, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.29 to 23.65. According to the industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is NT$. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.29 to a high of 23.65. Based on the distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Longchen Paper & Packaging Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.97. Historically, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.29 to 23.65 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Forest Products companies is 0.97, based on 20 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is NT$. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$11.85, compared to a current price of NT$10.15 — trading 14.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is NT$. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is NT$ as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of NT$10.15 is trading 14.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$11.85.
GuruFocus considers Longchen Paper & Packaging Co to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TPE:1909:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): NT$
GF Value™: NT$11.85 vs. price of NT$10.15 (14.3% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1909 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, processing, and trading paper raw materials; manufacturing, printing, processing and trading of corrugated containers; and recycling/renewal of energy and resources, including turnkey design, trial-run and operation of cogeneration and incinerator systems. Its segments include Containerboard: manufacturing and sales of Containerboard; Corrugated container: manufacturing and sale of paper machines; Wastepaper: procurement and sale of wastepaper; and Others: public wastewater treatment and general administration in the Group. It derives majority of the revenue from Containerboard segment.
63GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TPE:1909
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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