Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) Beneish M-Score: -2.60 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TPE:1909 Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd TPE:1909
63 GF Score
Price NT$9.56
GF Value NT$12.33
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score?

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co TPE:1909 -1.65% 63 Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:1909 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$12.33 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks better than 56.04% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:1909' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.56
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Longchen Paper & Packaging Co was -1.56. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.58.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.55 -2.96 -2.84 -2.60

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.80 -2.79 -2.64 -2.60

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:1909
63GF Score
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd TPE:1909
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Longchen Paper & Packaging Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0779+0.528 * 0.9908+0.404 * 1.0132+0.892 * 0.9353+0.115 * 0.9718
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.054+4.679 * -0.024116-0.327 * 1.0264
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$7,292 Mil.
Revenue was 12031.272 + 11262.745 + 11190.818 + 10223.264 = NT$44,708 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1499.457 + 906.058 + 943.46 + 1054.924 = NT$4,404 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$13,704 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$68,753 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$49,668 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$2,131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$3,057 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$21,698 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$26,370 Mil.
Net Income was 197.354 + -144.308 + -432.421 + -137.273 = NT$-517 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -126.289 + 597.558 + -390.301 + 1060.433 = NT$1,141 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$7,233 Mil.
Revenue was 12709.78 + 11751.068 + 12602.917 + 10735.969 = NT$47,800 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1047.233 + 1055.262 + 1408.762 + 1153.604 = NT$4,665 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$12,195 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$68,530 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$51,041 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$2,125 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$3,101 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$20,299 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$26,380 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7291.989 / 44708.099) / (7232.863 / 47799.734)
=0.163102 / 0.151316
=1.0779

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4664.861 / 47799.734) / (4403.899 / 44708.099)
=0.097592 / 0.098503
=0.9908

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13704.223 + 49667.518) / 68753.224) / (1 - (12194.5 + 51041.201) / 68529.679)
=0.078272 / 0.077251
=1.0132

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=44708.099 / 47799.734
=0.9353

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2125.103 / (2125.103 + 51041.201)) / (2130.6 / (2130.6 + 49667.518))
=0.039971 / 0.041133
=0.9718

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3056.768 / 44708.099) / (3100.849 / 47799.734)
=0.068372 / 0.064872
=1.054

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26370.036 + 21698.245) / 68753.224) / ((26380.103 + 20298.971) / 68529.679)
=0.699142 / 0.681151
=1.0264

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-516.648 - 0 - 1141.401) / 68753.224
=-0.024116

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 mean?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.60 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #120 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 44%.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Based on the distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #120 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #120 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Longchen Paper & Packaging Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$12.33, compared to a current price of NT$9.56 — trading 22.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.60. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.60 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$9.56 is trading 22.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$12.33. GuruFocus considers Longchen Paper & Packaging Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:1909:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.60
  • GF Value™: NT$12.33 vs. price of NT$9.56 (22.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1909 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Business Description

Address No. 1-1, Guangxing Lane, Guangxing Village, Erlin Township, Zhanghua, TWN
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, processing, and trading paper raw materials; manufacturing, printing, processing and trading of corrugated containers; and recycling/renewal of energy and resources, including turnkey design, trial-run and operation of cogeneration and incinerator systems. Its segments include Containerboard: manufacturing and sales of Containerboard; Corrugated container: manufacturing and sale of paper machines; Wastepaper: procurement and sale of wastepaper; and Others: public wastewater treatment and general administration in the Group. It derives majority of the revenue from Containerboard segment.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:1909

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$9.56
Price
NT$12.33
GF Value